Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) AI Stock Analysis
OTTR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchOtter Tail Corporation is a conglomerate operating electric utility, manufacturing, and plastic pipe segments across the United States. In FY2025, the company generated $1.30B in revenue, $275.9M in net income, and diluted EPS of $6.56. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 19.5x with a forward dividend yield of 2.50%.
- Market cap
- $3.78B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.32B
- P/E
- 19.5x fwd 16.1x
- 1Y return
- 20.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $90.50 0.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin of 24.0% substantially exceeds the US-listed Industrials peer median of 11.7%.
- Otter Tail has sustained 42 consecutive years of dividend payments, supported by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.2% and a payout ratio of 34.9%.
- The stock's valuation includes a trailing P/E of 19.5x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 12.6x, both lower than their respective US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x.
Bear case
- Annual revenue has contracted for three consecutive fiscal years, falling 7.6% in FY2023, 1.4% in FY2024, and 2.0% in FY2025.
- Consensus estimates forecast EPS to drop 7.2% to $6.08 in FY2026 and an additional 12.3% to $5.33 in the following fiscal year.
- Short interest represents a notable portion of the float, with short percent of float standing at 16.3%.
What Otter Tail does
Otter Tail Corporation operates through three primary segments: Electric, Manufacturing, and Plastics across the United States. Its Electric segment produces, transmits, distributes, and sells electric energy in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota, serving approximately 133,000 customers from coal, wind, hydro, and natural gas sources. The Manufacturing segment engages in contract machining, metal parts stamping, fabrication, painting, plastic thermoformed horticultural containers, and life science packaging. The Plastics segment manufactures polyvinyl chloride (PVC) pipes used in municipal water systems, rural water supplies, wastewater management, storm drainage, and water reclamation systems.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, Otter Tail recorded a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.9%. Annual revenue expanded 34.5% in FY2021 to $1.20B and 22.0% in FY2022 to $1.46B, before declining 7.6% in FY2023 to $1.35B, 1.4% in FY2024 to $1.33B, and 2.0% in FY2025 to $1.30B. Net margin expanded from 14.8% in FY2021 to 22.7% in FY2024, but gross margin contracted to 27.8% in FY2025, bringing net income to $275.9M and EPS to $6.56. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $1.32B with an operating margin of 24.0%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 0.4% year-over-year while quarterly earnings increased 6.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Otter Tail had $407.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.27B, leaving net debt at $859.5M. Total assets stood at $4.29B and shareholders' equity was $1.88B, alongside a current ratio of 1.71 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67. During FY2025, the company generated $386.0M in operating cash flow and $97.9M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $288.1M in capital expenditures, $88.1M in dividends paid, and $3.1M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $90.13, Otter Tail has a market cap of $3.78B and an enterprise value of $4.68B. Its trailing P/E of 19.5x and forward P/E of 16.1x compare to medians of 24.8x and 17.2x for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its EV-to-EBITDA multiple is 12.6x versus the peer median of 13.9x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 2.9x sits above the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, Otter Tail returned 20.4%, ahead of the S&P 500's return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 74.4% trailed the index's 83.0%.
OTTR dividend
Otter Tail pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $2.26 per share, yielding 2.50%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years and generated a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.2%. Its dividend payout ratio stands at 34.9%, and its last ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $90.50 implies a 0.4% premium relative to the last close of $90.13. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $1.32B and EPS of $6.08, representing a 7.2% decline in earnings. Analysts project EPS to fall another 12.3% to $5.33 in the following fiscal year. Otter Tail beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Gross margin declined from 43.8% in FY2024 to 27.8% in FY2025, highlighting cost pressures.
- Free cash flow dropped from $218.2M in FY2022 to $97.9M in FY2025 as annual capital expenditures reached $288.1M.
- Total debt of $1.27B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $407.2M, resulting in net debt of $859.5M.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this OTTR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: OTTR income statement, OTTR balance sheet, OTTR key metrics, OTTR analyst forecast, OTTR chart. See the OTTR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
OTTR AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Otter Tail Corporation's dividend yield and track record?
Otter Tail pays an annual forward dividend of $2.26 per share, yielding 2.50%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years, has a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.2%, and maintains a payout ratio of 34.9%.
How do analysts rate Otter Tail stock?
Analysts currently rate Otter Tail with 4 Hold ratings, 0 Buy ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $90.50, representing a 0.4% difference from the last close of $90.13.
How does Otter Tail's valuation compare to its peers?
Otter Tail trades at a trailing P/E of 19.5x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 12.6x, both below the medians of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 13.9x. Its price-to-sales multiple of 2.9x is higher than the peer median of 1.5x.
When is Otter Tail's next earnings report?
Otter Tail is scheduled to report earnings on November 2, 2026. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters.