OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: OGEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

OGE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) provides regulated electricity generation, transmission, and distribution to approximately 879,000 customers in Oklahoma and western Arkansas. In FY2025, the utility generated $3.26B in revenue and $470.7M in net income, while delivering a 9.7% return on equity over the trailing twelve months. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 17.2x and offers a 3.61% dividend yield backed by 42 consecutive years of dividend payments.

Market cap
$9.82B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.24B
P/E
20.9x
fwd 17.2x
1Y return
6.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$49.50
4.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Regulated utility margins remain robust, with a trailing twelve-month operating margin of 26.6% outperforming the peer median of 22.6%.
  • Analyst consensus projects steady expansion, forecasting next fiscal year revenue to grow 6.1% to $3.59B and EPS to rise 7.3% to $2.61.
  • Shareholder distributions are sustained by 42 consecutive years of dividend payments with a 3.61% dividend yield.

Bear case

  • Liquidity appears constrained with only $900,000 in cash and short-term investments alongside a current ratio of 0.77 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Significant leverage is present on the balance sheet, marked by $5.84B in total debt and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.17.
  • Top-line contraction materialized recently, as quarterly revenue fell 4.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

What OGE Energy does

OGE Energy Corp., founded in 1902 and based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, operates as an energy and energy services provider across Oklahoma and western Arkansas. The company's electric operations serve approximately 879,000 customers over a 30,000-square-mile territory. It manages 16 generating stations with an aggregate capability of 7,207 megawatts utilizing coal, natural gas, wind, and solar assets. Its infrastructure network includes 54 substations and more than 5,000 miles of transmission lines in Oklahoma, alongside 350 distribution substations and nearly 30,000 miles of overhead lines across its two-state operating footprint.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, OGE achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.0%. Annual revenue fell from $3.65B in FY2021 to $2.67B in FY2023 before rebounding to $2.99B in FY2024 and $3.26B in FY2025. Operating margin expanded from 14.9% in FY2021 to 24.5% in FY2025, while net margin moved from 20.2% to 14.4%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $3.24B with an operating margin of 26.6% and net margin of 14.4%, producing EPS of $2.27. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 4.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 5.7%.

OGE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, OGE held $900,000 in cash and short-term investments against $5.84B in total debt, leading to net debt of $5.84B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.17. The current ratio stood at 0.77 with total assets of $14.63B and shareholders' equity of $4.98B. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $1.14B, which supported $1.05B in capital expenditures and yielded free cash flow of $82.7M. Financing activity in FY2025 included $341.9M in dividends paid and $196.5M raised through share issuance, with the 5-year share count rising 3.6%.

OGE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

OGE has a market capitalization of $9.82B and an enterprise value of $15.08B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 20.9x and a forward P/E of 17.2x, compared to the median of its US-listed Utilities peers of 20.6x trailing and 17.2x forward. Its EV/EBITDA of 11.0x is below the peer median of 12.1x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 3.0x sits above the peer median of 2.4x. Over the past year, the stock returned 6.2% versus 16.8% for the S&P 500, and over five years it gained 73.9% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

OGE key metrics →

OGE dividend

OGE pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.72 per share, yielding 3.61%. The dividend payout ratio is 75.1%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years and generated a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 1.5%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was October 5, 2026.

OGE dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 8 Hold, and zero Sell ratings. The mean price target of $49.50 suggests an implied upside of 4.1% from the last close of $47.53. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $3.38B and EPS of $2.43, representing 4.7% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, 13 analysts project revenue of $3.59B and EPS of $2.61. OGE beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 28, 2026.

OGE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $5.84B exposes the business to refinancing requirements given its minimal cash position of $900,000.
  • Heavy capital requirements could strain cash generation after capital expenditures reached $1.05B against free cash flow of $82.7M in FY2025.
  • High dividend commitment may limit flexibility given a 75.1% payout ratio alongside $341.9M paid in dividends during FY2025.
  • Execution track record is uneven after the company beat earnings estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this OGE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of OGE Energy Corp. (OGE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: OGE income statement, OGE balance sheet, OGE key metrics, OGE analyst forecast, OGE chart. See the OGE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

OGE AI stock analysis FAQ

What is OGE Energy's current dividend yield and payout history?

OGE offers a forward dividend yield of 3.61% based on an annual dividend of $1.72 per share. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 75.1%.

How much debt does OGE carry on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, OGE carried $5.84B in total debt against $900,000 in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $5.84B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.17.

What are analysts forecasting for OGE's earnings and revenue?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.38B and EPS of $2.43. For the following fiscal year, estimates call for revenue of $3.59B and EPS of $2.61.

How does OGE's valuation compare to its utility peers?

OGE trades at a forward P/E of 17.2x, matching the median of its US-listed Utilities peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple of 11.0x trades below the peer median of 12.1x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 3.0x is above the peer median of 2.4x.

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