Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. (NBIX) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: NBIXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NBIX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. (NBIX) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on treatments for neurological, endocrine, and psychiatric disorders. The company generated $2.86B in FY2025 revenue, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.3%, and achieved $748.7M in free cash flow. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 39.5% year-over-year while operating margin reached 22.2% on a trailing twelve-month basis.

Market cap
$13.79B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.37B
P/E
19.9x
fwd 14.1x
1Y return
-1.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$206.81
52.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue grew 39.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter, driven by strong uptake of commercial therapies such as INGREZZA.
  • Profitability is expanding, with trailing twelve-month net profit margin reaching 20.9% and FY2025 free cash flow totaling $748.7M.
  • The forward P/E multiple of 14.1x represents a discount compared to the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 17.3x.

Bear case

  • Share performance has lagged the broader market, returning -1.3% over the past year compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500.
  • Annual research and development expenses expanded to $1.02B in FY2025, elevating ongoing cost commitments for clinical pipeline programs.
  • Short interest represents 7.5% of float, reflecting lingering market skepticism despite double-digit earnings growth.

What Neurocrine Biosciences does

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company dedicated to discovering, developing, and commercializing treatments for neurological, endocrine, and psychiatric disorders. Its commercial portfolio features INGREZZA, a VMAT2 inhibitor for tardive dyskinesia, alongside ONGENTYS for Parkinson's disease. The company also provides ORILISSA for endometriosis pain and ORIAHNN for heavy menstrual bleeding associated with uterine fibroids. Its clinical pipeline includes product candidates such as NBI-921352 and NBI-827104 for pediatric and focal epilepsy indications and essential tremor, as well as NBI-1065845, NBI-1065846, and NBI-118568 for major depressive disorder and schizophrenia.

Growth and profitability

Neurocrine expanded revenue from $1.13B in FY2021 to $2.86B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.3%. Gross margin remained consistently strong, registering at 98.2% in FY2025 compared to 98.7% in FY2021. Annual net income grew from $89.6M in FY2021 to $478.6M in FY2025, bringing diluted earnings per share to $6.40. R&D spending increased to $1.02B in FY2025 from $328.1M in FY2021. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $3.37B with a net profit margin of 20.9% and an operating margin of 22.2%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 39.5% and quarterly earnings rose 31.1% year-over-year.

NBIX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Neurocrine held $389.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $401.8M, resulting in net debt of $12.0M. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.87 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 across $3.69B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $782.7M, supporting capital expenditures of $34.0M and generating free cash flow of $748.7M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $167.7M spent on share buybacks, while share count rose 9.8% over the trailing five-year period.

NBIX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $135.71 and a market cap of $13.79B, Neurocrine trades at a trailing P/E of 19.9x and a forward P/E of 14.1x. These multiples compare to 24.6x trailing and 17.3x forward P/E for the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 15.7x sits above the peer median of 12.0x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 4.1x matches the peer median. Over the past year, NBIX shares fell 1.3%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, and gained 29.8% over five years compared to 83.0% for the index.

NBIX key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 21 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings, with zero Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $206.81 implies 52.4% upside compared to the last close of $135.71. For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.90B and EPS of $10.19, reflecting projected EPS growth of 59.4%. For FY2027, 15 analysts project revenue of $4.56B and EPS of $11.95. Neurocrine has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 2, 2026.

NBIX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock trades 7.7% below its 200-day moving average and remains down from its 52-week high of $186.12.
  • The company carries $401.8M in total debt against $389.8M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • Execution risk remains high across clinical-stage candidates such as NBI-921352 and NBI-118568 as R&D spending exceeded $1.02B in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NBIX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. (NBIX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NBIX income statement, NBIX balance sheet, NBIX key metrics, NBIX analyst forecast, NBIX chart. See the NBIX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NBIX AI stock analysis FAQ

What are Neurocrine Biosciences' core commercial drugs?

Neurocrine's key commercial products include INGREZZA for tardive dyskinesia and ONGENTYS for Parkinson's disease. The company also markets ORILISSA for endometriosis pain and ORIAHNN for uterine fibroids.

Does Neurocrine Biosciences pay a dividend?

No, Neurocrine Biosciences does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward research and development, which totaled $1.02B in FY2025, and share buybacks of $167.7M.

What are analysts projecting for Neurocrine's FY2026 earnings?

Analysts project full-year FY2026 earnings per share of $10.19 on revenue of $3.90B, representing projected EPS growth of 59.4% over FY2025.

How does Neurocrine's valuation compare to its peers?

Neurocrine trades at a forward P/E of 14.1x, below the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 17.3x. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 15.7x, compared to the peer median of 12.0x.

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