MicroVision, Inc. (MVIS) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MVISAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MVIS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

MicroVision, Inc. develops lidar sensors and laser beam scanning technologies for automotive safety, autonomous driving, and augmented reality applications. The company generated $2.9M in trailing twelve-month revenue while posting an operating margin of -1491.6%. In FY2025, revenue fell 74.3% to $1.2M, accompanied by a net loss of -$95.0M.

Market cap
$34.6M
Revenue (TTM)
$2.9M
P/E
—
1Y return
-93.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$2.00
77.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • The mean analyst price target of $2.00 implies an upside of 77.0% from the closing price of $1.13.
  • Quarterly revenue for the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, grew 850.3% year-over-year.
  • Analyst estimates forecast revenue to rise to $20.0M in the next fiscal year.

Bear case

  • MicroVision generated a net loss of -$95.0M and free cash flow of -$59.4M in FY2025.
  • The stock has dropped 93.9% over the past year and trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 12.0x despite negative gross margins of -1435.4% in FY2025.
  • The balance sheet shows liquidity pressure with a current ratio of 0.68 and net debt of $18.2M as of June 30, 2026.

What MicroVision does

MicroVision, Inc. specializes in the development of lidar sensors essential for automotive safety and autonomous driving applications. Its proprietary technology centers on laser beam scanning utilizing micro-electrical mechanical systems (MEMS), laser diodes, opto-mechanics, advanced electronics, algorithms, and software. In addition to automotive lidar, the company develops micro-display concepts tailored for augmented reality headsets, including the 1440i MEMS module, as well as Interactive Display modules for smart speakers and consumer lidar systems. At the core of its product lineup is PicoP scanning technology. MicroVision primarily serves original equipment manufacturers and original design manufacturers.

Growth and profitability

MicroVision has experienced substantial top-line volatility, with revenue declining at a 5-year CAGR of -17.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue reached $7.3M in FY2023 before falling 35.3% to $4.7M in FY2024 and decreasing 74.3% to $1.2M in FY2025. Gross margin contracted to -1435.4% in FY2025, while operating margin was -5743.8%. Net losses expanded from -$43.2M in FY2021 to -$95.0M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $2.9M with EPS of -$5.60. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 850.3% year-over-year.

MVIS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, MicroVision held $27.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $45.5M, resulting in net debt of $18.2M. The company had a current ratio of 0.68 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.20, with shareholders' equity of $20.6M. MicroVision burned cash across all reported periods, generating -$58.7M in operating cash flow and -$59.4M in free cash flow in FY2025. Capital expenditures totaled $679,000 in FY2025, while the share count increased 103.7% over five years.

MVIS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

MicroVision closed at $1.13 on October 16, 2026, giving it a market capitalization of $34.6M and an enterprise value of $68.6M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 12.0x and an enterprise value to revenue multiple of 23.8x, compared to the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 2.8x sales. The company has a price-to-book ratio of 2.4x. Over the past year, the stock fell 93.9%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 benchmark SPY, and sits 84.2% below its 200-day average.

MVIS key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 analyst for the next fiscal year. The mean price target is $2.00, representing a 77.0% premium over the last close of $1.13. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$0.13 and revenue of $0. For the next fiscal year, expectations are an EPS of -$0.17 on revenue of $20.0M. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 10, 2026.

MVIS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Dilution risk remains elevated after the 5-year share count expanded by 103.7% to fund persistent cash burn.
  • The company faces near-term liquidity constraints with cash of $27.2M against total debt of $45.5M and a current ratio of 0.68.
  • Short interest represents 20.4% of the float, reflecting significant market skepticism.
  • Revenue has contracted at a 5-year CAGR of -17.1%, finishing FY2025 at just $1.2M.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MVIS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of MicroVision, Inc. (MVIS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MVIS income statement, MVIS balance sheet, MVIS key metrics, MVIS analyst forecast, MVIS chart. See the MVIS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MVIS AI stock analysis FAQ

What is MicroVision's current valuation?

As of October 16, 2026, MicroVision had a market capitalization of $34.6M and an enterprise value of $68.6M. The stock trades at 12.0x sales and 2.4x book value.

Does MicroVision pay a dividend?

MicroVision does not pay a dividend. The company generated negative free cash flow of -$59.4M in FY2025.

What are analysts forecasting for MicroVision's upcoming fiscal years?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates expect EPS of -$0.13 on $0 in revenue. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst estimates revenue of $20.0M and an EPS of -$0.17.

How has MicroVision stock performed recently?

MicroVision shares closed at $1.13 on October 16, 2026, marking its 52-week low. The stock has posted a 1-year return of -93.9% and a 5-year return of -99.2%.

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