MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MGEEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MGEE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE) is a Wisconsin-based public utility holding company supplying electric and natural gas service. For FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $743.7M and net income of $135.9M. Its shares offer an annual forward dividend yield of 2.81% backed by 40 consecutive years of dividend payments.

Market cap
$2.73B
Revenue (TTM)
$752.1M
P/E
17.8x
fwd 25.3x
1Y return
-12.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$76.67
6.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Net income reached $135.9M in FY2025 as operating margin expanded to 22.9%.
  • The company maintains 40 consecutive years of dividend payments with a payout ratio of 47.5%.
  • Quarterly earnings growth reached 23.6% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow fell to -$80.0M in FY2025 due to $343.2M in capital expenditures.
  • The stock declined 12.2% over the trailing 1-year period, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
  • Its forward P/E multiple of 25.3x sits above the US-listed Utilities peer median of 17.2x.

What MGE Energy does

MGE Energy, Inc. operates as a public utility holding company based in Madison, Wisconsin. The company is organized into segments including Regulated Electric Utility Operations, Regulated Gas Utility Operations, Nonregulated Energy Operations, Transmission Investments, and All Other. In its core operations, MGE Energy generates, purchases, and distributes electricity, utilizing generation assets located in Wisconsin and Iowa across coal-fired, gas-fired, and renewable energy sources. It also manages transmission facilities and supplements supplies through power purchase agreements. As of December 31, 2021, the company provided electric services to approximately 159,000 customers in Dane County and natural gas to approximately 169,000 customers across seven Wisconsin counties.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded to $743.7M in FY2025, representing revenue growth of 9.9% after declining 2.0% to $676.9M in FY2024 and 3.4% to $690.4M in FY2023. Across the 5-year period from FY2022 to FY2025, revenue grew at a CAGR of 0.8%. Operating margin expanded from 19.3% in FY2022 to 21.6% in FY2024 and 22.9% in FY2025. Annual net income grew from $111.0M in FY2022 to $135.9M in FY2025, with EPS increasing from $3.06 to $3.72. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 1.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth reached 23.6%.

MGEE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, MGE Energy held $10.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $899.6M, resulting in net debt of $888.9M. Total assets were $3.30B, while shareholders' equity totaled $1.44B, generating a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 and a current ratio of 1.14. Operating cash flow reached $263.2M in FY2025. Capital expenditures of $343.2M drove free cash flow to -$80.0M, compared to $40.9M in FY2024. Dividends paid in FY2025 were $67.6M.

MGEE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

MGE Energy has a market capitalization of $2.73B and an enterprise value of $3.66B. The company trades at a trailing P/E of 17.8x, below the 20.6x median for US-listed Utilities peers. Its forward P/E of 25.3x stands above the peer median of 17.2x. The enterprise value to EBITDA multiple is 11.3x, compared to the peer median of 12.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 12.2%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock returned 7.2%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

MGEE key metrics →

MGEE dividend

MGE Energy pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward dividend of $2.03 per share, yielding 2.81%. Its payout ratio is 47.5%. The company has paid dividends for 40 consecutive years, achieving a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 5.1%. The last ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.

MGEE dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst ratings for MGE Energy include 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 3 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell. The mean price target is $76.67, indicating 6.1% upside compared to the last close of $72.27 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.98 and revenue of $781.4M. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

MGEE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt stood at $888.9M as of June 30, 2026, with cash and short-term investments of $10.7M.
  • Long-term top-line growth has been muted, evidenced by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 0.8% between FY2022 and FY2025.
  • Continued elevated capital expenditures, which reached $343.2M in FY2025, may continue to pressure cash flow.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MGEE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MGEE income statement, MGEE balance sheet, MGEE key metrics, MGEE analyst forecast, MGEE chart. See the MGEE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MGEE AI stock analysis FAQ

What is MGE Energy's dividend yield and dividend history?

MGE Energy offers an annual forward dividend of $2.03 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 2.81%. The company has made consecutive dividend payments for 40 years with a payout ratio of 47.5%.

How did MGE Energy perform in FY2025?

In FY2025, MGE Energy generated $743.7M in revenue, reflecting 9.9% growth over FY2024. Net income totaled $135.9M, producing EPS of $3.72.

How does MGE Energy's valuation compare to utility peers?

MGE Energy trades at a trailing P/E of 17.8x, below the US-listed Utilities median of 20.6x. However, its forward P/E of 25.3x is higher than the peer median of 17.2x.

What is MGE Energy's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, MGE Energy held total debt of $899.6M and cash and short-term investments of $10.7M, yielding net debt of $888.9M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62.

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