Medallion Financial Corp. (MFIN) AI Stock Analysis
MFIN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMedallion Financial Corp. (MFIN) is a diversified finance company providing consumer, commercial, and medallion loans. Over the five years through FY2025, revenue expanded at an 18.5% compound annual growth rate, reaching $353.3M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 32.6% year-over-year while trailing twelve-month revenue stood at $350.0M.
- Market cap
- $256.9M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $350.0M
- P/E
- 8.4x fwd 7.7x
- 1Y return
- 20.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $11.92 6.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue achieved a 5-year CAGR of 18.5% from FY2020 through FY2025, delivering $126.3M in free cash flow in FY2025.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 7.7x and a price-to-book ratio of 0.7x, well below the US-listed Financial Services peer median forward P/E of 10.8x.
- The quarterly dividend offers a 5.01% yield supported by a 39.1% payout ratio and $275.9M in cash reserves.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 32.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Analysts forecast FY2026 EPS to contract 35.6% to $1.15 alongside a projected revenue drop to $232.1M.
- Total debt stands at $345.9M, yielding net debt of $70.0M against a market capitalization of $256.9M.
What Medallion Financial does
Medallion Financial Corp., based in New York City, is a diversified finance company operating across Recreation Lending, Home Improvement Lending, Commercial Lending, and Medallion Lending. Its consumer operations provide loans for recreational vehicles, boats, trailers, and home improvements. For commercial clients, it offers financing for equipment purchases and business expansions, alongside its legacy business of financing taxi medallions for transportation operators. Founded in 1995, the company also participates in debt, mezzanine, and equity investments, raises deposits through banking activities, and has initiated strategic ventures into the cryptocurrency space to explore digital asset opportunities.
Growth and profitability
Medallion Financial generated FY2025 revenue of $353.3M, up 21.1% from $291.8M in FY2024, continuing top-line expansion from $179.2M in FY2021. Operating margin increased to 50.5% in FY2025 compared to 21.6% in FY2024, while net margin held steady at 12.2% with net income of $43.0M and EPS of $1.78. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $350.0M with a profit margin of 9.2% and EPS of $1.33. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 2.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 32.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Medallion Financial held $275.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $345.9M, resulting in net debt of $70.0M. Total assets stood at $3.19B against shareholders' equity of $406.0M, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85 and a current ratio of 50.49. In FY2025, the company generated $126.3M in operating cash flow and free cash flow. Capital deployment included $11.0M in dividends paid and $986,000 in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Trading at a market capitalization of $256.9M and an enterprise value of $2.78B, Medallion Financial carries a trailing P/E of 8.4x and a forward P/E of 7.7x. Both multiples trade at a discount to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, which sit at a trailing P/E of 12.1x and forward P/E of 10.8x. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.7x, compared to the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, MFIN gained 20.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 64.4% trailed the SPY return of 83.0%.
MFIN dividend
Medallion Financial pays a forward annual dividend of $0.56 per share, representing a dividend yield of 5.01%. The company maintains a payout ratio of 39.1% and distributes dividends on a quarterly schedule. It has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years, with its last ex-dividend date occurring on August 17, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy rating and 3 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $11.92 represents a 6.5% premium to the last close of $11.19 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.15 and revenue of $232.1M. Medallion Financial beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly earnings growth weakened to -32.6% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, reflecting bottom-line volatility.
- The enterprise value of $2.78B heavily reflects debt and asset obligations relative to its $256.9M equity market value.
- Full-year revenue is estimated by analysts to fall from $353.3M in FY2025 to $232.1M in FY2026.
- Short interest represents 5.0% of float as of October 16, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MFIN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Medallion Financial Corp. (MFIN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MFIN income statement, MFIN balance sheet, MFIN key metrics, MFIN analyst forecast, MFIN chart. See the MFIN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MFIN AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Medallion Financial pay?
Medallion Financial pays a forward annual dividend of $0.56 per share, which equates to a 5.01% yield. The dividend is paid quarterly with a payout ratio of 39.1%.
When is Medallion Financial's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.
What are analysts' price targets for MFIN stock?
Analysts have a mean price target of $11.92, representing a 6.5% upside from its last closing price of $11.19 on October 16, 2026.
How much debt does Medallion Financial have?
As of June 30, 2026, Medallion Financial carried $345.9M in total debt and $275.9M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $70.0M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85.