Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) AI Stock Analysis
MAA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) is an S&P 500 residential REIT managing multifamily properties across the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions. While revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 5.7% to $2.21B in FY2025, annual revenue growth slowed to 0.8% and net income contracted to $446.9M. The company maintains a 5.25% dividend yield with 33 consecutive years of dividend payments, supported by $1.08B in FY2025 operating cash flow.
- Market cap
- $13.92B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.22B
- P/E
- 34.1x fwd 33.6x
- 1Y return
- -6.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $138.60 18.8% vs last close
Bull case
- The trust yields 5.25% and has distributed dividends for 33 consecutive years, with an 8.7% 5-year annualized dividend growth rate.
- MAA produced $1.08B in operating cash flow and $717.9M in free cash flow in FY2025, maintaining an EV/EBITDA of 16.0x below the S&P 500 Real Estate peer median of 17.6x.
- The consensus analyst price target of $138.60 indicates an 18.8% upside compared to the closing price of $116.63.
Bear case
- Revenue growth slowed to 0.8% in FY2025, and quarterly revenue rose just 1.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The dividend payout ratio stands at 124.6% of earnings, while consensus estimates project EPS to decline 16.9% in the next fiscal year to $3.11.
- MAA carries $5.69B in total debt against $51.8M in cash and short-term investments, with a current ratio of 0.09 as of June 30, 2026.
What Mid-America Apartment does
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. operates as an equity real estate investment trust focused on the acquisition, development, redevelopment, and management of residential apartment communities. The company concentrates its portfolio in high-growth markets throughout the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. As of December 31, 2020, MAA's portfolio encompassed 102,772 apartment units located across 16 states and the District of Columbia. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, MAA employs 2,507 people and aims to generate long-term value across all phases of the real estate cycle through disciplined capital deployment and active property management.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, MAA grew annual revenue from $1.78B to $2.21B, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.7%. However, annual top-line expansion slowed from a peak of 13.6% in FY2022 to 2.0% in FY2024 and 0.8% in FY2025. Operating margin declined from 32.1% in FY2023 to 28.0% in FY2025, while net margin fell from 31.6% in FY2022 to 20.2% in FY2025. Annual diluted EPS decreased from $5.80 in FY2022 to $4.19 in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $2.22B with an operating margin of 25.4%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 1.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 13.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, MAA held $51.8M in cash and short-term investments against $5.69B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.64B. Shareholders' equity was $5.43B on $11.99B in total assets, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05 and a current ratio of 0.09. In FY2025, the company generated $1.08B in operating cash flow and $717.9M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $360.2M in capital expenditures, $712.7M in dividends paid, and $27.2M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
MAA trades at a trailing P/E of 34.1x and a forward P/E of 33.6x, above the median of its S&P 500 Real Estate peers of 30.3x and 29.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 16.0x, below the peer median of 17.6x, and its price-to-sales ratio of 6.3x is below the peer median of 7.1x. Over the past year, MAA stock fell 6.9%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Over five years, MAA posted a return of -28.2%, compared to an 83.0% return for the benchmark.
MAA dividend
MAA pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $6.12, reflecting a dividend yield of 5.25%. The trust has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 8.7%. In FY2025, dividends paid totaled $712.7M, and the trailing payout ratio stood at 124.6%. The company's last ex-dividend date was October 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 7 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 14 Hold, 2 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $138.60, representing an 18.8% upside relative to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $116.63. Consensus estimates project FY2026 revenue of $2.23B and EPS of $3.74. For FY2027, 7 analysts project revenue of $2.29B and EPS of $3.11. MAA beat EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 28, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt of $5.64B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05 require consistent cash flow generation to manage debt obligations.
- Operating margin decreased from 32.1% in FY2023 to 28.0% in FY2025, and stood at 25.4% for the trailing twelve months.
- Analyst consensus expects EPS to decline from $4.19 in FY2025 to $3.74 in FY2026 and $3.11 in FY2027, potentially pressuring profitability.
- The 1-year stock return of -6.9% significantly underperformed the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MAA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MAA income statement, MAA balance sheet, MAA key metrics, MAA analyst forecast, MAA chart. See the MAA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MAA AI stock analysis FAQ
What is MAA's current dividend yield and payout schedule?
MAA offers a forward dividend yield of 5.25%, paying an annualized dividend of $6.12 on a quarterly schedule. The company has maintained an uninterrupted dividend payment record for 33 consecutive years.
How much debt does MAA carry on its balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, MAA held $5.69B in total debt and $51.8M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $5.64B. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 1.05 and its current ratio stood at 0.09.
What are analysts forecasting for MAA's earnings?
Analysts expect EPS of $3.74 on revenue of $2.23B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the following fiscal year, consensus forecasts an EPS decline of 16.9% to $3.11 alongside revenue of $2.29B.
When is MAA's next earnings report date?
MAA is scheduled to release its next quarterly financial results on October 28, 2026.