Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) AI Stock Analysis
INSP AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchInspire Medical Systems, Inc. develops neurostimulation medical devices to treat obstructive sleep apnea. While annual revenue expanded to $912.0M in FY2025 with net income of $145.4M, revenue fell 7.6% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $291.6M in net cash.
- Market cap
- $1.99B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $898.7M
- P/E
- 15.2x fwd 59.2x
- 1Y return
- -11.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $68.00 -1.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Inspire generated $78.5M in free cash flow in FY2025 while maintaining a solid gross margin of 85.4%.
- The balance sheet provides considerable liquidity with $291.6M in net cash and a high current ratio of 8.55 as of June 30, 2026.
- The company demonstrated consistent execution by beating consensus earnings per share estimates in each of the past 4 quarters.
Bear case
- Quarterly revenue fell 7.6% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, signaling potential deceleration.
- Analyst consensus projects an earnings per share decline of 48.4% to $1.25 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
- Inspire shares have declined 71.9% over five years, significantly trailing the 83.0% gain of the S&P 500.
What Inspire Medical Systems does
Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. is a medical technology company based in Golden Valley, Minnesota, focused on developing minimally invasive treatments for obstructive sleep apnea. Founded in 2007, the company provides the Inspire system, a closed-loop neurostimulation technology designed for individuals with moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea. The system continuously monitors breathing patterns and delivers mild stimulation to the hypoglossal nerve to maintain an open airway during sleep. Inspire operates globally within sleep medicine and neurostimulation therapies.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue grew from $233.4M in FY2021 to $912.0M in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 51.2% from FY2020 through FY2025. Gross margin remained steady, registering 85.7% in FY2021 and 85.4% in FY2025. Operating margin turned positive in FY2024 at 4.5% and rose to 5.6% in FY2025, while net income shifted from -$42.0M in FY2021 to $145.4M in FY2025. However, in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 7.6% year-over-year, even as quarterly earnings growth reached 308.4% and trailing twelve month revenue totaled $898.7M.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Inspire held $320.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $29.1M, yielding a net cash balance of $291.6M. The balance sheet reflects a current ratio of 8.55 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 across $825.6M in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, the company generated $78.5M in free cash flow, funded $38.5M in capital expenditures, and spent $175.0M on share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $68.79, Inspire carries a market capitalization of $1.99B and an enterprise value of $1.70B. Its trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 15.2x sits below the 24.6x median of its US-listed Healthcare peers, while its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 59.2x is higher than the peer median of 17.3x. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 2.2x, lower than the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, the shares dropped 11.1%, compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 11 Hold, 2 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $68.00 indicates a 1.1% decline relative to the last close of $68.79. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $853.9M and an earnings per share decline of 48.4% to $1.25. Inspire exceeded earnings per share expectations in all of its last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A short interest ratio of 19.0% of float indicates notable market skepticism.
- Quarterly top-line contraction of 7.6% year-over-year may strain operating leverage, with trailing operating margin already at -0.3%.
- The forward price-to-earnings ratio of 59.2x leaves little room for operational underperformance relative to peer levels.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this INSP AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: INSP income statement, INSP balance sheet, INSP key metrics, INSP analyst forecast, INSP chart. See the INSP stock overview for the latest quote and news.
INSP AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Inspire Medical Systems pay a dividend?
Inspire Medical Systems does not pay a dividend. Capital allocation has focused on operations, capital expenditures of $38.5M, and share buybacks of $175.0M in FY2025.
What is Inspire Medical Systems' balance sheet health?
The company holds $320.7M in cash and short-term investments against $29.1M in total debt as of June 30, 2026, resulting in $291.6M in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.
What are analysts forecasting for Inspire in FY2026?
Analysts project fiscal year 2026 revenue of $853.9M and earnings per share of $1.25, representing a projected 48.4% decrease in EPS.
When is Inspire Medical Systems reporting its next earnings?
Inspire Medical Systems is scheduled to announce its next quarterly earnings on November 2, 2026.