IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. (IDYA) AI Stock Analysis
IDYA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchIDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. (IDYA) is a precision medicine oncology company developing targeted therapeutics focused on synthetic lethality. In FY2025, revenue increased sharply to $218.7M from $7.0M in FY2024, while net loss narrowed to -$113.7M. As of June 30, 2026, the company held $829.0M in cash and short-term investments, providing a net cash balance of $799.6M.
- Market cap
- $3.17B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $234.1M
- P/E
- — fwd 4.6x
- 1Y return
- 18.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $52.29 59.2% vs last close
Bull case
- The company possesses balance sheet strength with $829.0M in cash and short-term investments and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 as of June 30, 2026.
- Analysts project FY2027 revenue growth of 189.9% to $116.4M, with a mean price target of $52.29 representing 59.2% potential upside.
- Five-year revenue expanded at a CAGR of 62.1% from FY2020 through FY2025, driven by $218.7M in FY2025 revenue.
Bear case
- IDEAYA continues to generate losses, recording a net income of -$113.7M in FY2025 and a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -74.8%.
- Consensus estimates expect FY2026 revenue to decrease to $40.2M while EPS declines 258.1% to -$4.58.
- Historical dilution has been significant, with the common share count expanding by 139.1% over five years.
What IDEAYA Biosciences does
IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. is a precision medicine oncology company focused on synthetic lethality to discover and develop targeted therapeutics for patient populations identified through molecular diagnostics. Its clinical pipeline features IDE397, a methionine adenosyltransferase 2a inhibitor in Phase I trials for solid tumors with methylthioadenosine phosphorylase deletions, and IDE196, a protein kinase C inhibitor in Phase I/II trials for cancers with GNAQ or GNA11 gene mutations. IDEAYA also maintains preclinical programs targeting PARG, Pol Theta, and WRN inhibitors. It has research collaborations with Cancer Research UK and the University of Manchester, alongside a clinical collaboration and supply agreement with Pfizer Inc.
Growth and profitability
IDEAYA experienced volatile top-line results over recent years. Annual revenue grew from $27.9M in FY2021 to $50.9M in FY2022 before dropping 54.1% to $23.4M in FY2023 and falling 70.1% to $7.0M in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue jumped 3024.4% to $218.7M, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 62.1% from FY2020. However, high research and development expenses, reaching $314.7M in FY2025, kept net income negative at -$113.7M and operating margin at -72.8%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $234.1M with an EPS of -$1.94, while latest quarterly revenue rose 55.4% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, IDEAYA held $829.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $29.3M, yielding net cash of $799.6M. Liquidity is robust, with a current ratio of 10.45 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 against shareholders' equity of $1.20B. Cash flow from operations was -$71.1M in FY2025, with free cash flow of -$73.5M and capital expenditures of $2.4M. To support operations, the share count increased 139.1% over five years.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $32.85, IDEAYA carries a market capitalization of $3.17B and an enterprise value of $2.81B. Its price-to-sales ratio of 13.5x trades at a premium to the median of 4.1x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio is 4.6x, compared to the peer median of 17.3x. Over the past year, IDYA stock rose 18.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 42.0%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment is positive, with 11 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $52.29 implies an upside of 59.2% over the last close of $32.85. For FY2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $40.2M and EPS of -$4.58. For FY2027, 14 analysts expect revenue to rise 189.9% to $116.4M with EPS of -$4.16. IDEAYA beat earnings expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Cash burn remains a factor, as reflected by free cash flow of -$73.5M in FY2025 alongside R&D expenses of $314.7M.
- Top-line results demonstrate volatility, as annual revenue dropped 70.1% in FY2024 before rebounding to $218.7M in FY2025.
- Short interest represents 11.1% of float, reflecting negative sentiment among some market participants.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this IDYA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. (IDYA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: IDYA income statement, IDYA balance sheet, IDYA key metrics, IDYA analyst forecast, IDYA chart. See the IDYA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
IDYA AI stock analysis FAQ
What does IDEAYA Biosciences do?
IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. is a precision medicine oncology company specializing in synthetic lethality. It discovers and develops targeted cancer therapeutics for biomarker-defined patient populations, with lead clinical candidates including IDE397 and IDE196.
Does IDYA pay a dividend?
No, IDEAYA Biosciences does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward research and clinical development.
What is IDEAYA's cash and debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, IDEAYA held $829.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $29.3M, leaving net cash of $799.6M.
When does IDEAYA report earnings next?
IDEAYA is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on November 3, 2026.