Humana Inc. (HUM) AI Stock Analysis
HUM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHumana Inc. (HUM) is a major U.S. health insurance and healthcare services company with $145.68B in trailing twelve months revenue. Despite delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.9%, its net margin contracted to 0.9% in FY2025. The company maintains a solid net cash position of $9.62B as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $49.61B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $145.68B
- P/E
- 39.1x fwd 24.3x
- 1Y return
- 56.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $465.12 12.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 10.9% 5-year CAGR through FY2025 and quarterly revenue growth reached 26.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The balance sheet maintains strong liquidity with $9.62B in net cash and a current ratio of 1.74 as of June 30, 2026.
- Analyst consensus projects an 86.6% rebound in EPS to $17.09 for the fiscal year ending after FY2026.
Bear case
- Annual net margin contracted from 3.5% in FY2021 to 0.9% in FY2025, with free cash flow dropping to $375.0M.
- Current fiscal year EPS is projected to decline 46.6% to $9.16.
- Humana trades at a forward P/E of 24.3x, representing a premium over the S&P 500 Healthcare peer median of 16.5x.
What Humana does
Humana Inc., along with its subsidiaries, operates as a health and well-being company within the United States. Its operations span three primary segments: Retail, Group and Specialty, and Healthcare Services. The company provides medical and supplemental benefit plans, including contracts with the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) for prescription drug plans, as well as state contracts for Medicaid, dual eligible, and long-term support services. Humana also offers commercial fully insured medical, dental, vision, and administrative services products, and serves military personnel through its TRICARE T2017 East Region contract. Additionally, it operates pharmacy solutions, provider services, and home solutions services.
Growth and profitability
Humana grew revenue from $83.65B in FY2021 to $129.66B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.9%. Annual revenue growth reached 10.1% in FY2025, but profitability narrowed as gross margin declined from 17.3% in FY2021 to 14.5% in FY2025, and operating margin dropped from 4.1% to 1.1%. Net income decreased from $2.93B in FY2021 to $1.19B in FY2025, leaving net margin at 0.9%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $145.68B with EPS of $10.58. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 26.2% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 27.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Humana held $23.87B in cash and short-term investments against $14.25B in total debt, yielding net cash of $9.62B. Total assets stood at $57.20B and shareholders' equity was $19.21B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 and a current ratio of 1.74. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $921.0M and free cash flow was $375.0M. During FY2025, cash allocations included $546.0M for capital expenditures, $151.0M for share buybacks, and $430.0M for dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Humana trades at a trailing P/E of 39.1x and a forward P/E of 24.3x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Healthcare peers at 27.2x trailing and 16.5x forward. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.3x, below the peer median of 3.4x, while its price-to-book ratio is 2.3x. Over the past year, Humana returned 56.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. However, its 5-year return of -1.7% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%. The stock trades at $413.16, which is 37.5% above its 200-day average.
HUM dividend
Humana pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $3.54 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 0.86%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 20.6%. The company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.2%. Its last ex-dividend date is October 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 13 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 9 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $465.12, representing a 12.6% upside over the last close of $413.16. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $162.74B and an EPS of $9.16, a decline of 46.6%. For the following fiscal year, 26 analysts project EPS to rebound 86.6% to $17.09 on revenue of $168.69B. Humana beat EPS estimates in all 4 of its last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for November 6, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating margin of 1.1% in FY2025 leaves little buffer if healthcare delivery costs increase.
- Free cash flow generation decreased significantly from $2.39B in FY2024 to $375.0M in FY2025.
- Expected current fiscal year EPS of $9.16 reflects substantial near-term earnings volatility.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HUM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Humana Inc. (HUM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HUM income statement, HUM balance sheet, HUM key metrics, HUM analyst forecast, HUM chart. See the HUM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HUM AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Humana's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Humana pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $3.54, offering a dividend yield of 0.86%. It has paid consecutive dividends for 16 years, with a payout ratio of 20.6%.
How does Humana compare to healthcare sector valuation multiples?
Humana trades at a trailing P/E of 39.1x and forward P/E of 24.3x, above the S&P 500 Healthcare median of 27.2x and 16.5x, respectively. However, its price-to-sales multiple of 0.3x is below the peer median of 3.4x.
What are analysts' forecasts for Humana's earnings?
Analysts expect EPS of $9.16 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, marking a 46.6% decline. For the next fiscal year, consensus estimates forecast an 86.6% recovery to $17.09 per share.
What is Humana's debt and liquidity position?
As of June 30, 2026, Humana held $23.87B in cash and short-term investments compared to $14.25B in total debt, giving it $9.62B in net cash. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.74.