Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: HGAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HG AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) is a global specialty insurance and reinsurance underwriter headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.99B in revenue with a net profit margin of 19.6% and a diluted EPS of $5.72. The firm maintains a strong balance sheet with $4.04B in net cash and achieved a return on equity of 31.1%.

Market cap
$3.57B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.99B
P/E
6.3x
1Y return
64.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$38.14
5.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 30.0% from FY2020 through FY2025.
  • The company holds $4.04B in net cash with a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 as of June 30, 2026.
  • HG trades at a trailing P/E of 6.3x, compared to 12.1x for the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings declined 20.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst consensus estimates project next fiscal year EPS to fall 6.1% to $4.78.
  • Underwriting margins have historically fluctuated, including an operating margin of -2.1% and a net loss of -$98.0M in FY2022.

What Hamilton Insurance does

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. operates globally through its subsidiaries, focusing on underwriting specialized insurance and reinsurance risks. The company provides casualty reinsurance solutions including general liability, healthcare, and worker's compensation, alongside property treaty reinsurance and specialty coverage in aviation and marine insurance. It also offers a range of specialty insurance products covering cyber security, environmental liability, fine art and specie, and political risk, as well as management liability, medical professionals' insurance, and small business casualty plans. Headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda, Hamilton maintains an international presence with strategic offices in Dublin, London, Miami, New York, and Glen Allen, Virginia.

Growth and profitability

Hamilton demonstrated significant expansion as annual revenue grew from $1.34B in FY2021 to $2.74B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 30.0%. After reporting an operating margin of -2.1% and a net loss of -$98.0M in FY2022, operating profitability rebounded to 15.8% in FY2023, 26.1% in FY2024, and 30.1% in FY2025, when net income reached $576.7M. Gross margin also reached 54.1% in FY2025 with operating cash flow of $842.4M. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 13.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 20.7% compared to the prior-year period.

HG income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Hamilton held $4.19B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $149.8M, resulting in net cash of $4.04B. The debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.05, supported by shareholders' equity of $2.85B and total assets of $10.26B. Free cash flow was $842.4M in FY2025, matching operating cash flow. In FY2025, capital allocation included $112.5M spent on share buybacks, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -2.4%.

HG balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At its last close of $36.21 on October 16, 2026, HG traded at a trailing P/E of 6.3x and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.2x. Both multiples trade at a discount to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, which stood at a trailing P/E of 12.1x and a price-to-sales ratio of 3.2x. The enterprise value of $2.73B translates to an EV-to-revenue ratio of 0.9x. Over the past year, HG generated a return of 64.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) return of 16.8%.

HG key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $38.14 represents an upside of 5.3% over the last close of $36.21. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $5.09 on revenue of $3.03B. For the subsequent fiscal year, 7 analysts project EPS of $4.78 and revenue of $3.10B. The company beat EPS estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date set for October 29, 2026.

HG forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Underwriting results can be volatile, as demonstrated by net income dropping to -$98.0M in FY2022.
  • Quarterly earnings contracted 20.7% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, highlighting potential near-term earnings variability.
  • Top-line expansion is estimated to slow to 2.3% in the next fiscal year compared to 15.3% in FY2025.
  • Consensus forecasts anticipate an EPS contraction of 6.1% for the next fiscal year.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HG AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HG income statement, HG balance sheet, HG key metrics, HG analyst forecast, HG chart. See the HG stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HG AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Hamilton Insurance Group's revenue growth in FY2025?

Hamilton's revenue grew 15.3% to $2.74B in FY2025, up from $2.38B in FY2024. This performance contributed to a 5-year revenue CAGR of 30.0% from FY2020 to FY2025.

How does HG's valuation compare to its peer group?

HG trades at a trailing P/E of 6.3x and a price-to-sales multiple of 1.2x. This is lower than the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, which post a trailing P/E of 12.1x and price-to-sales of 3.2x.

What is Hamilton's net cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Hamilton reported $4.19B in cash and short-term investments against $149.8M in total debt, giving it a net cash position of $4.04B.

When is Hamilton Insurance Group's next earnings report?

The company is scheduled to report earnings on October 29, 2026. Hamilton has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.

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