Genius Sports Limited (GENI) AI Stock Analysis

Genius Sports Limited develops and provides technology-driven products and services tailored for the sports, sports betting, and sports media sectors. Headquartered in London, United Kingdom, the company maintains a technology infrastructure designed for the collection, integration, and distribution of live sports data across multiple leagues. Its portfolio includes streaming solutions for commercializing video footage, integrity monitoring services to detect suspicious betting activities, and pre-game and in-game odds feeds. Genius Sports also provides risk management solutions such as real-time bet monitoring, customer profiling, automated bet acceptance or rejection, bet limit setting, fan engagement widgets, and personalized digital marketing campaigns.

Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 34.9% from FY2020 through FY2025, increasing from $262.7M in FY2021 to $669.5M in FY2025. Annual revenue growth was 31.0% in FY2025, while gross margin stood at 23.0%, down slightly from 25.2% in FY2024. Operating margin remained negative across all reported years, recording -21.1% in FY2025 and -12.4% over the trailing twelve months. Net income was -$111.6M in FY2025, reflecting a net margin of -16.7% and an eps of -$0.39, following a net loss of -$63.0M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth accelerated to 64.7% year-over-year, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $790.2M.

As of June 30, 2026, Genius Sports held $155.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $821.0M, resulting in net debt of $665.9M. Total assets stood at $2.11B and shareholders' equity was $684.0M, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20 and a current ratio of 0.97. Operating cash flow grew to $86.4M in FY2025, up from $81.9M in FY2024, supporting positive free cash flow of $64.5M after capital expenditures of $21.9M. In addition, the share count increased by 45.2% over 5 years.

At a last close of $6.35 on October 16, 2026, Genius Sports had a market capitalization of $1.70B and an enterprise value of $2.30B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 51.0x, a price-to-sales of 2.2x, and an EV-to-EBITDA of 152.7x. Each of these multiples stands well above the median of its US-listed Communication Services peers, which trade at a forward P/E of 14.1x, a price-to-sales of 0.8x, and an EV-to-EBITDA of 10.0x. Over the past year, GENI declined 46.9% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY), and its 5-year return of -65.4% lagged the benchmark's 83.0% gain.

Wall Street sentiment includes 15 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $10.83 implies an upside of 70.6% compared to the last close of $6.35. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.02B and an EPS of $0.62, representing EPS growth of 267.9%. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $1.30B and EPS of $1.07. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 3, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Genius Sports Limited (GENI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

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