4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. (FDMT) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FDMTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FDMT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. (FDMT) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on genetic therapies using adeno-associated virus vectors. The company reported TTM revenue of $92.0M and maintained $361.3M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026. However, it continues to operate at a loss, recording a net income of -$140.1M in FY2025 alongside -$109.1M in free cash flow.

Market cap
$670.7M
Revenue (TTM)
$92.0M
P/E
—
1Y return
20.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$28.09
131.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company holds a solid balance sheet with $361.3M in cash and short-term investments alongside a net cash position of $322.1M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Wall Street analysts have established a mean price target of $28.09, pointing to 131.4% upside over the last close of $12.14.
  • The stock has generated strong positive momentum recently, delivering a year-to-date return of 61.9%.

Bear case

  • The company operates with ongoing deficits, recording a net income of -$140.1M and free cash flow of -$109.1M in FY2025.
  • Consensus projections show significant revenue retraction, falling to $13.3M for FY2026 compared to $85.2M generated in FY2025.
  • Shareholder equity has faced dilution over time, with the 5-year share count rising 160.1%.

What 4D Molecular Therapeutics does

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage gene therapy company focused on developing product candidates utilizing adeno-associated virus vectors. Its clinical pipeline targets ophthalmology, cardiology, and pulmonology. Key clinical-stage candidates include 4D-125 for X-linked retinitis pigmentosa, 4D-110 for choroideremia, and 4D-310 for Fabry disease, all advancing through Phase 1/2 trials. The company also maintains investigational new drug candidates, including 4D-150 for wet age-related macular degeneration and 4D-710 for cystic fibrosis lung disease. Headquartered in Emeryville, California, the company collaborates with partners such as uniQure, CRF, Roche, and CFF to advance novel gene therapy approaches.

Growth and profitability

Revenue has fluctuated widely across recent reporting periods. Annual revenue was $18.0M in FY2021, fell to $3.1M in FY2022, rose to $20.7M in FY2023, dropped to $37,000 in FY2024, and reached $85.2M in FY2025, up 230194.6%. Between FY2020 and FY2025, the 5-year revenue CAGR was 44.3%. Operating losses have persisted, with net income moving from -$68.3M in FY2021 to -$140.1M in FY2025, driven by R&D expense rising to $195.7M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 25106.7% year-over-year. TTM revenue stood at $92.0M with an operating margin of -2037.2% and EPS of -$2.63.

FDMT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, 4D Molecular Therapeutics held $361.3M in cash and short-term investments against $39.2M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $322.1M. The company maintains strong liquidity with a current ratio of 8.03 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10. For FY2025, operating cash flow was -$109.1M and free cash flow was -$109.1M. Capital allocation included $536,000 in capital expenditures and $7.5M raised from share issuance, while 5-year share count grew 160.1%.

FDMT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

With a market cap of $670.7M and an enterprise value of $506.0M, the company trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 7.3x and an EV to revenue multiple of 5.5x. Its price-to-sales multiple is above the 4.1x median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 2.0x. Over the past year, the shares returned 20.3%, beating the 16.8% return of the S&P 500. Over a 5-year period, the stock declined 55.6%, while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.

FDMT key metrics →

What analysts expect

Analyst coverage includes 9 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $28.09 implies a 131.4% premium over the last close of $12.14. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates forecast revenue of $13.3M and EPS of -$4.15. For the following fiscal year, 10 analysts estimate revenue of $20.6M, reflecting 55.6% growth, and EPS of -$4.09. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date set for November 9, 2026.

FDMT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock carries elevated market volatility, highlighted by a beta of 2.74 and a 5-year share price drop of 55.6%.
  • High short positioning shows market skepticism, with short interest accounting for 23.3% of the float.
  • Persistent cash burn of -$109.1M in operating cash flow during FY2025 necessitates future capital preservation.
  • Execution predictability is mixed, as the company met or beat EPS estimates only 1 time over the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FDMT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. (FDMT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FDMT income statement, FDMT balance sheet, FDMT key metrics, FDMT analyst forecast, FDMT chart. See the FDMT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FDMT AI stock analysis FAQ

What is 4D Molecular Therapeutics' cash and debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $361.3M in cash and short-term investments with total debt of $39.2M, providing a net cash balance of $322.1M.

Does FDMT pay a dividend?

No, 4D Molecular Therapeutics does not pay a dividend.

What is the analyst price target for FDMT?

The mean analyst price target is $28.09, which sits 131.4% above the last close price of $12.14.

When is the next earnings release for 4D Molecular Therapeutics?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 9, 2026.

More Healthcare AI stock analysis