Ellomay Capital Ltd. (ELLO) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE American: ELLOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ELLO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Ellomay Capital Ltd. is a renewable and clean energy producer operating power plants in Israel, Spain, and the Netherlands. While annual revenue declined from $52.2M in FY2022 to $33.9M in FY2025, quarterly revenue grew 10.1% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The company carries $664.6M in total debt against $167.5M in cash and short-term investments.

Market cap
$290.3M
Revenue (TTM)
$43.8M
P/E
—
fwd 22.0x
1Y return
7.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$11.30
-46.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 28.6% from FY2020 to FY2025.
  • Latest quarterly revenue grew 10.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 14.6% as of June 30, 2026.
  • Insiders retain strong alignment with public shareholders, holding a 75.1% ownership stake in the company.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue fell for three consecutive fiscal years, sliding from $52.2M in FY2022 to $33.9M in FY2025.
  • Free cash flow remained negative across all five reported fiscal years, reaching -$96.0M in FY2025 alongside capital expenditures of $97.8M.
  • The mean analyst price target of $11.30 represents a 46.3% decline from the last closing price of $21.06.

What Ellomay Capital does

Ellomay Capital Ltd., along with its subsidiaries, specializes in the production of renewable and clean energy across Israel, Spain, and the Netherlands. The company's portfolio features six photovoltaic plants, including four facilities in Spain totaling approximately 7.9 megawatts (MW), a 300 MW peak capacity plant in Talaván, Spain, and a 9 MW plant in Israel. It also operates an 860 MWp dual-fuel power plant near Ashkelon, Israel, and is constructing a 156 MW pumped storage hydro power plant at the Manara Cliff. Additionally, Ellomay develops anaerobic digestion plants in Goor and Oude-Tonge in the Netherlands for green gas production.

Growth and profitability

Ellomay's revenue expanded to $52.2M in FY2022 before falling 9.2% to $47.4M in FY2023, 14.7% to $40.5M in FY2024, and 16.3% to $33.9M in FY2025. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at a CAGR of 28.6%. Profitability varied, with gross margin dropping from 47.4% in FY2022 to -5.9% in FY2025, while operating margin shifted from 22.4% in FY2024 to 4.5% in FY2025. Annual net income was -$2.1M in FY2025 with an EPS of $0.15. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $43.8M with a profit margin of 135.8%, alongside quarterly revenue growth of 10.1% and quarterly earnings growth of 14.6%.

ELLO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Ellomay held $167.5M in cash and short-term investments against $664.6M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $497.2M. The company reported total assets of $959.7M and shareholders' equity of $210.5M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.16 and a current ratio of 1.24. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.8M while capital expenditures reached $97.8M, producing negative free cash flow of -$96.0M. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased by 7.7%.

ELLO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Ellomay trades at an enterprise value of $872.4M and a market capitalization of $290.3M. Its forward P/E of 22.0x sits above the median of its US-listed Utilities peers of 17.2x. Additionally, its price-to-sales ratio of 6.6x and EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 70.4x are higher than the peer medians of 2.4x and 12.1x, respectively. The company also records a price-to-book ratio of 1.3x and an EV-to-revenue ratio of 21.9x. In the market, the stock gained 7.6% over the past year and fell 28.4% over five years, compared to S&P 500 returns of 16.8% and 83.0% across the same timeframes.

ELLO key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage shows a mean price target of $11.30 for Ellomay Capital Ltd., which sits 46.3% below its last close of $21.06 on October 16, 2026. Regarding execution, the company has beaten consensus earnings per share estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters. The stock traded 8.9% below its 200-day average, with a 52-week trading range spanning from $17.00 to $30.34.

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company carries significant leverage with total debt of $664.6M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.16 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Gross margin deteriorated from 47.4% in FY2022 to -5.9% in FY2025, signaling substantial operational volatility.
  • Trailing twelve-month return on equity stood at -15.8%, reflecting ongoing pressure on shareholder returns.
  • Valuation multiples are elevated relative to peers, with EV-to-EBITDA of 70.4x compared to the US-listed Utilities peer median of 12.1x.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ELLO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ellomay Capital Ltd. (ELLO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ELLO income statement, ELLO balance sheet, ELLO key metrics, ELLO chart. See the ELLO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ELLO AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Ellomay Capital Ltd. pay a dividend?

The provided data does not report any dividend payments for Ellomay Capital Ltd.

What is Ellomay Capital's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Ellomay reported $664.6M in total debt and $167.5M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $497.2M. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 3.16.

How has ELLO performed compared to the broader market?

Over the past year, ELLO gained 7.6% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500. Over a five-year horizon, ELLO declined 28.4% while the S&P 500 rose 83.0%.

What do analysts project for ELLO stock?

Analysts have set a mean price target of $11.30, which is 46.3% below its last close of $21.06 on October 16, 2026. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates twice.

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