Castle Biosciences, Inc. (CSTL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: CSTLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CSTL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Castle Biosciences, Inc. is a commercial-stage diagnostics company providing proprietary gene expression profile tests for dermatological cancers. Over five fiscal years through FY2025, revenue achieved a CAGR of 40.6%, though the company returned to a net loss of -$24.2M in FY2025 after a profitable FY2024. As of June 30, 2026, the company maintained a healthy liquidity position with $230.2M in net cash.

Market cap
$976.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$357.3M
P/E
—
1Y return
41.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$45.22
41.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Castle Biosciences maintains a well-capitalized balance sheet with $230.2M in net cash and a current ratio of 6.04 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The business generated positive cash flow in FY2025, delivering $64.3M in operating cash flow and $28.3M in free cash flow.
  • Analyst coverage remains positive with 9 Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $45.22, representing 41.5% potential upside.

Bear case

  • The company swung from net income of $18.2M in FY2024 back to an annual net loss of -$24.2M in FY2025.
  • Annual revenue growth slowed sharply from 51.1% in FY2024 to 3.7% in FY2025.
  • Consensus estimates project an EPS of -$1.26 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, representing an earnings decline of 51.5%.

What Castle Biosciences does

Castle Biosciences, Inc. is a diagnostics company specializing in advanced testing services for dermatological cancers. The company delivers diagnostic and prognostic solutions designed to assist treatment decisions for patients with skin cancer diagnoses. Its flagship test, DecisionDx-Melanoma, evaluates metastatic risk in invasive cutaneous melanoma. Castle Biosciences also provides DecisionDx-UM for uveal melanoma, DecisionDx-SCC for squamous cell carcinoma, and DecisionDx DiffDx-Melanoma alongside myPath Melanoma for characterizing suspicious pigmented lesions. Through partnerships with physicians, the company provides these testing services to support personalized clinical care.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue increased from $94.1M in FY2021 to $332.1M in FY2024, reaching $344.2M in FY2025, which reflects a 5-year CAGR of 40.6%. Annual revenue growth slowed from 51.1% in FY2024 to 3.7% in FY2025. Gross margins have stayed elevated, registering 79.4% in FY2025 compared to 81.9% in FY2024. After achieving net income of $18.2M and an operating margin of 2.6% in FY2024, Castle Biosciences posted a net loss of -$24.2M and an operating margin of -12.4% in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $357.3M with a profit margin of -5.4%. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 20.1% year-over-year while earnings fell 51.6%.

CSTL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Castle Biosciences held $266.8M in cash and short-term investments and $36.6M in total debt, yielding net cash of $230.2M. Liquidity is supported by a current ratio of 6.04 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 against shareholders' equity of $470.0M. In FY2025, the company generated $64.3M in operating cash flow and $28.3M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $36.0M in FY2025, while the company's share count increased 20.0% over 5 years.

CSTL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Castle Biosciences trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 2.7x and an enterprise value to revenue ratio of 2.3x, below the US-listed Healthcare median price-to-sales ratio of 4.1x. Its EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 43.0x is higher than the US-listed Healthcare median of 12.0x, alongside a price-to-book ratio of 2.3x. Over the past 12 months, CSTL stock advanced 41.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. However, over a 5-year period, the stock fell 49.7%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

CSTL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Consensus ratings include 9 Strong Buy recommendations, with 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $45.22 reflects an implied upside of 41.5% from the October 16, 2026 close of $31.96. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $373.5M and an EPS of -$1.26. For the next fiscal year, 9 analysts project revenue of $412.5M. Castle Biosciences beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 5, 2026.

CSTL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly earnings fell 51.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The trailing twelve-month operating margin of -3.0% remains below the US-listed Healthcare median of 14.0%.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred over time, with the share count expanding 20.0% over a 5-year span.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CSTL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Castle Biosciences, Inc. (CSTL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CSTL income statement, CSTL balance sheet, CSTL key metrics, CSTL analyst forecast, CSTL chart. See the CSTL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CSTL AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Castle Biosciences pay a dividend?

No, Castle Biosciences does not pay a dividend.

What is the consensus analyst target for CSTL?

The mean analyst price target is $45.22, which is 41.5% above the closing price of $31.96 on October 16, 2026.

How much cash and debt does Castle Biosciences have?

As of June 30, 2026, Castle Biosciences reported $266.8M in cash and short-term investments against $36.6M in total debt, leaving net cash of $230.2M.

What were Castle Biosciences' revenues and net income in FY2025?

In FY2025, Castle Biosciences generated revenue of $344.2M, up 3.7%, and posted a net loss of -$24.2M.

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