Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. (AVTX) AI Stock Analysis
AVTX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAvalo Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage precision medicine biotechnology company developing targeted therapeutics for immunology, immuno-oncology, and rare genetic diseases. While generating minimal revenue of $59,000 over the trailing twelve months, the company holds a strong cash position of $400.3M as of June 30, 2026. Ongoing clinical trials across multiple pipeline candidates drive substantial research costs, resulting in a net loss of -$78.3M in FY2025.
- Market cap
- $604.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $59,000
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -19.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $44.08 291.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Avalo Therapeutics maintains a strong balance sheet with $400.3M in cash and short-term investments and a net cash position of $400.0M as of June 30, 2026.
- Wall Street analysts project substantial upside, with a mean price target of $44.08 representing a 291.2% premium over the last close of $11.27.
- The company possesses a diverse late-stage pipeline including AVTX-801 and AVTX-803, both currently in Phase III clinical trials.
Bear case
- Commercial revenue remains negligible at $59,000 over the trailing twelve months, alongside a 5-year revenue CAGR of -61.2%.
- Cash burn is significant, evidenced by a free cash flow loss of -$51.5M and a net loss of -$78.3M in FY2025.
- The stock has delivered severe long-term underperformance, falling 99.8% over the past 5 years and 37.9% year-to-date.
What Avalo Therapeutics does
Avalo Therapeutics, Inc., originally known as Cerecor Inc., is a clinical-stage precision medicine company headquartered in Rockville, Maryland. Founded in 2011, it focuses on developing therapies for unmet clinical needs. Its lead pipeline asset is AVTX-002, a fully human anti-LIGHT monoclonal antibody evaluated in Phase II trials for non-eosinophilic asthma and inflammatory bowel disease, and Phase III trials for COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome. The company is also advancing AVTX-007 in Phase I trials for Still's disease. Its rare genetic disease programs include AVTX-801 in Phase III trials for PGM1 deficiency and AVTX-803 in Phase III trials for LADII.
Growth and profitability
Avalo Therapeutics generates minimal commercial revenue as its pipeline remains in clinical development. Annual revenue declined from $5.4M in FY2021 and $18.1M in FY2022 down to $1.9M in FY2023, $441,000 in FY2024, and $59,000 in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -61.2%. Net losses remained elevated, moving from -$84.4M in FY2021 to -$41.7M in FY2022, -$31.5M in FY2023, -$35.1M in FY2024, and -$78.3M in FY2025 as FY2025 R&D expenses reached $50.1M. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth declined 69.3% year-over-year, while trailing twelve months revenue stood at $59,000 with EPS of -$4.31.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Avalo Therapeutics held $400.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $242,000, resulting in net cash of $400.0M. The company reported shareholders' equity of $448.7M, total assets of $490.8M, a current ratio of 19.31, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$51.5M and free cash flow was -$51.5M, reflecting continued clinical development burn. Capital activities in FY2025 included share issuance of $23,000, while 5-year share count change was 110006.1%.
Valuation and performance
Avalo Therapeutics trades at a market capitalization of $604.4M and an enterprise value of $420.5M. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 1.8x. In comparison, the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers carries a price-to-book ratio not provided, but displays a trailing P/E of 24.6x, a forward P/E of 17.3x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 4.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 19.5%, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, and stands down 37.9% year-to-date at a closing price of $11.27 on October 16, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment is positive, with 12 Strong Buy ratings, 2 Buy ratings, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $44.08, representing an upside of 291.2% from the last close of $11.27. Consensus estimates project FY2026 EPS of -$2.73 and zero revenue, followed by FY2027 EPS of -$2.71 on zero revenue across 10 covering analysts. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating cash flow was -$51.5M in FY2025, highlighting the risk of ongoing dilution given a 5-year share count increase of 110006.1%.
- Short interest stands high, with short percent of float recorded at 21.3%.
- Revenue growth for the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026 declined 69.3% year-over-year, keeping the firm dependent on capital reserves.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AVTX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. (AVTX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AVTX income statement, AVTX balance sheet, AVTX key metrics, AVTX analyst forecast, AVTX chart. See the AVTX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AVTX AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Avalo Therapeutics pay a dividend?
No, Avalo Therapeutics does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward research and clinical development programs.
What are Avalo Therapeutics' lead pipeline drug candidates?
Its pipeline includes AVTX-002, an anti-LIGHT monoclonal antibody in Phase II and Phase III trials, AVTX-007 in Phase I trials, and AVTX-801 and AVTX-803, both of which are in Phase III trials for rare genetic disorders.
How much cash does Avalo Therapeutics have?
As of June 30, 2026, Avalo Therapeutics held $400.3M in cash and short-term investments, with total debt of $242,000, resulting in net cash of $400.0M.
When does Avalo Therapeutics report its next earnings?
Avalo Therapeutics is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026.