Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) AI Stock Analysis
ARW AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchArrow Electronics, Inc. (NYSE: ARW) is a global distributor of electronic components and enterprise computing solutions with $35.92B in trailing twelve-month revenue. The stock has gained 81.8% over the past year and trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7x. Recent quarterly performance shows strong top-line acceleration, with revenue up 31.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $10.92B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $35.92B
- P/E
- 13.7x fwd 5.0x
- 1Y return
- 81.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $235.00 9.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 31.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside a 46.5% increase in quarterly earnings.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 5.0x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 9.4x, well below the US-listed Technology peer medians of 18.8x and 16.6x.
- Share repurchases reduced the company's share count by 26.5% over the past 5 years, helping drive trailing twelve-month EPS to $15.64.
Bear case
- The business generated negative free cash flow of -$37.2M in FY2025, following operating cash flow of only $64.0M against $101.3M in capital expenditures.
- Net margin stands at 2.3% on a trailing twelve-month basis, remaining relatively thin compared to broader technology sector peers.
- One analyst maintains a Strong Sell rating, and the mean price target of $235.00 implies a modest upside of 9.5% from the $214.61 close.
What Arrow Electronics does
Arrow Electronics, Inc. distributes products, services, and solutions to industrial and commercial users of electronic components and enterprise computing solutions across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company operates two main segments: Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions. Global Components markets and distributes semiconductor products, passive components, electro-mechanical items, connectors, and memory products. Global Enterprise Computing Solutions delivers computing hardware, software, and services for datacenters, cloud environments, security, and analytics. It serves original equipment manufacturers, value-added resellers, managed service providers, and contract manufacturers.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Arrow Electronics' revenue moved from $34.48B to $30.85B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 1.5%. After revenue contracted 10.8% in FY2023 and 15.7% in FY2024, it rebounded 10.5% in FY2025. Annual net income peaked at $1.43B in FY2022 before dropping to $392.1M in FY2024 and recovering to $571.3M in FY2025, with an operating margin of 3.0%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $35.92B with a profit margin of 2.3% and an operating margin of 4.0%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 31.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 46.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Arrow Electronics held $244.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.17B, resulting in net debt of $1.93B. Shareholders' equity stood at $7.01B, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31 and a current ratio of 1.22. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $64.0M, while free cash flow was -$37.2M after capital expenditures of $101.3M. The company repurchased $161.7M of shares in FY2025, contributing to a 5-year share count reduction of 26.5%.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $214.61, Arrow Electronics has a market capitalization of $10.92B and an enterprise value of $13.47B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 13.7x and a forward P/E of 5.0x, both below the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 9.4x is also lower than the peer median of 16.6x. Over the past year, the stock returned 81.8%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark ETF return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 82.0% slightly trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 1 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell rating. The mean price target of $235.00 represents a 9.5% premium to the last closing price of $214.61. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $40.05B and EPS of $21.64, representing projected EPS growth of 96.3%. Arrow Electronics has beaten consensus EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Historical revenue volatility is significant, evidenced by consecutive annual contractions of 10.8% in FY2023 and 15.7% in FY2024.
- Total debt of $2.17B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $244.6M, resulting in net debt of $1.93B as of June 30, 2026.
- Trailing operating margin of 4.0% leaves limited cushion against rising operating costs or inventory adjustments compared to the US-listed Technology peer median of 13.2%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ARW AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ARW income statement, ARW balance sheet, ARW key metrics, ARW analyst forecast, ARW chart. See the ARW stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ARW AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Arrow Electronics pay a dividend?
Arrow Electronics does not pay a dividend. The company directs capital return toward share repurchases, spending $161.7M on buybacks in FY2025.
What is Arrow Electronics' forward P/E ratio?
The forward P/E ratio is 5.0x, which is lower than the US-listed Technology peer median of 18.8x.
How much debt does Arrow Electronics have?
As of June 30, 2026, Arrow Electronics had total debt of $2.17B and cash and short-term investments of $244.6M, resulting in net debt of $1.93B.
When does Arrow Electronics report earnings next?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 29, 2026.