Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc (ADGM) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ADGMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ADGM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc (ADGM) is a medical technology company developing catheter ablation technologies for cardiac arrhythmias. The company generated $137,000 in trailing twelve-month revenue through June 30, 2026, alongside an EPS of -$1.37. As of October 16, 2026, the stock has dropped 93.3% over the past year, leaving it with a market capitalization of $2.7M.

Market cap
$2.7M
Revenue (TTM)
$137,000
P/E
—
1Y return
-93.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$3.33
3267.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 75.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Wall Street analysts have a mean price target of $3.33, representing 3267.0% upside versus the last close of $0.10.
  • Analyst consensus projects revenue to expand to $1.5M in the next fiscal year from $0 expected in the current fiscal year.

Bear case

  • The stock has dropped 93.3% over the past year and trades 87.5% below its 200-day average.
  • Adagio posted a net loss of -$53.8M and negative free cash flow of -$31.1M in FY2024.
  • Shareholders' equity was negative at -$415,000 as of June 30, 2026, alongside net debt of $18.3M.

What Adagio Medical does

Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. is a medical technology company focused on the development and commercialization of ablation technologies for the treatment of cardiac arrhythmias. Its solutions target conditions such as atrial fibrillation and ventricular tachycardia. The company's product portfolio includes the iCLAS atrial ultra-low temperature ablation (ULTA) catheter and system, the vCLAS ventricular ULTC catheter, and Cryopulse pulsed field cryoablation catheters. Founded in 2011, the company is headquartered in Laguna Hills, California, and employed 41 people as of October 16, 2026.

Growth and profitability

Revenue for Adagio Medical has remained limited, moving from $270,000 in FY2021 to $269,000 in FY2024, resulting in a 3-year revenue CAGR of -0.1%. During FY2024, revenue fell 10.3%, gross margin stood at -620.1%, operating margin was -23226.8%, and net income totaled -$53.8M with an EPS of -$10.54. R&D expenses in FY2024 were $4.6M, down from $15.4M in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $137,000 with quarterly revenue growing 75.6% year-over-year.

ADGM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Adagio Medical held $7.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $26.0M, resulting in net debt of $18.3M. Total assets stood at $33.9M, and the current ratio was 1.41. Shareholders' equity was negative at -$415,000. In FY2024, operating cash flow was -$29.5M and free cash flow was -$31.1M, while capital expenditures reached $374,000 in FY2025.

ADGM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Adagio Medical trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 205.8x and an enterprise-value-to-revenue multiple of 370.2x, significantly higher than the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers, which carries a price-to-sales multiple of 4.1x. Its price-to-book ratio is 2.9x. The stock closed at $0.10 on October 16, 2026, down 93.3% over the past year compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY).

ADGM key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts maintain 2 Strong Buy and 1 Buy ratings on ADGM, with zero Hold or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $3.33, representing a 3267.0% increase over the last close of $0.10. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$1.09 on revenue of $0, followed by an EPS estimate of -$1.16 on $1.5M in revenue for the next fiscal year. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 11, 2026.

ADGM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating cash burn remains significant, having reached -$29.5M in FY2024 against a cash balance of $7.7M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Total debt of $26.0M exceeds the company's enterprise value of $23.3M and cash holdings of $7.7M.
  • The 3-year revenue CAGR was negative at -0.1% between FY2021 and FY2024, highlighting minimal commercial scale.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ADGM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc (ADGM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ADGM income statement, ADGM balance sheet, ADGM key metrics, ADGM analyst forecast, ADGM chart. See the ADGM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ADGM AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Adagio Medical's core product focus?

The company develops ablation technologies for cardiac arrhythmias, such as atrial fibrillation and ventricular tachycardia. Its product lineup includes the iCLAS ULTA catheter and system, the vCLAS catheter, and Cryopulse pulsed field cryoablation catheters.

What is ADGM's current financial position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $7.7M in cash and short-term investments alongside $26.0M in total debt, resulting in negative shareholders' equity of -$415,000.

Does Adagio Medical pay a dividend?

No, Adagio Medical does not pay a dividend.

When does Adagio Medical report earnings next?

Adagio Medical's next earnings date is scheduled for November 11, 2026.

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