Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) Stock Forecast
AAP analyst forecast
as of October 18, 2026- Analyst consensus
- Hold 3.00 / 5 from 25 analysts
- Price target
- $49.95 average of analyst targets
- Upside to target
- +12.4% from the latest close
- Next earnings
- November 5, 2026 EPS estimate $0.79
- 52-week range
- $38.68 – $63.02
AAP analyst ratings
25 analystsNumber of analysts at each rating.
AAP price target
The average of analyst 12-month price targets compared with the latest close and the 52-week range.
AAP earnings per share estimates
| Period | Average | Low | High | Year ago | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (Sep '26) | $0.79 | $0.52 | $1.03 | $0.92 | −14.5% | 22 |
| Current fiscal year (2026) | $2.99 | $2.69 | $3.41 | $2.26 | +32.3% | 24 |
| Next fiscal year (2027) | $3.89 | $3.30 | $4.49 | $2.99 | +30.2% | 23 |
Consensus EPS estimates; growth compares the average estimate with the year-ago EPS.
AAP revenue estimates
| Period | Average | Low | High | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (Sep '26) | $2.04B | $2.02B | $2.07B | +0.4% | 19 |
| Current fiscal year (2026) | $8.53B | $8.47B | $8.65B | −0.9% | 22 |
| Next fiscal year (2027) | $8.72B | $8.55B | $8.86B | +2.2% | 22 |
AAP EPS: reported and forecast
Fiscal years; "E" marks estimates, the line shows the range from the lowest to the highest estimate.
AAP revenue: reported and forecast
AAP EPS estimate revisions
| Period | 90 days ago | 60 days ago | 30 days ago | 7 days ago | Now | Change (90 d) | Revisions (30 d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (Sep '26) | $0.86 | $0.86 | $0.78 | $0.79 | $0.79 | −8.7% | 1 up · 0 down |
| Current fiscal year (2026) | $2.94 | $2.94 | $2.99 | $3.00 | $2.99 | +1.7% | 2 up · 0 down |
| Next fiscal year (2027) | $4.01 | $4.01 | $3.89 | $3.91 | $3.89 | −2.9% | 6 up · 11 down |
How the consensus EPS estimate changed over the last 90 days, and how many analysts raised or lowered it in the last 30 days.
AAP earnings surprises
Reported EPS vs the consensus estimate for the last 12 quarters; AAP beat in 8 of 12.
What analysts expect from AAP
25 analysts cover Advance Auto Parts; their consensus rating is hold (3.00 on a 1–5 scale, where 5 is a strong buy). The average price target is $49.95, 12.4% above the latest close of $44.45. Analysts expect earnings of $2.99 per share for 2026, +32.3% from a year earlier. For 2027 the average estimate is $3.89 per share on revenue of $8.7 billion. Advance Auto Parts beat the EPS estimate in 8 of the last 12 quarters.
Related: AAP income statement, AAP key metrics, AAP chart. See the AAP stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AAP forecast FAQ
What is Advance Auto Parts's price target?
The average analyst price target for Advance Auto Parts is $49.95, 12.4% above the latest close of $44.45.
Is Advance Auto Parts a buy, hold or sell?
Of 25 analysts covering Advance Auto Parts, 2 rate it a strong buy, 0 a buy, 20 a hold, 2 a sell and 1 a strong sell, a consensus of hold. Ratings are opinions, not a recommendation from Quotelinks.
What is Advance Auto Parts's EPS forecast?
Analysts forecast $2.99 per share for 2026 (range $2.69 to $3.41); for 2027 the estimate is $3.89.
What is Advance Auto Parts's revenue forecast?
The average revenue estimate for 2026 is $8.5 billion, growth of −0.9%; for 2027 it is $8.7 billion.
When does Advance Auto Parts report earnings?
Advance Auto Parts is expected to report results for the quarter ending September 30, 2026 on November 5, 2026 before the market opens; the EPS estimate is $0.79.
Does Advance Auto Parts usually beat earnings estimates?
Advance Auto Parts reported EPS at or above the analyst estimate in 8 of the last 12 quarters.