Verastem, Inc. (VSTM) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: VSTMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

VSTM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Verastem, Inc. (VSTM) is a developmental-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on novel cancer treatments. While trailing twelve-month revenue rose to $87.5M with quarterly growth of 1775.4%, the company recorded a net income loss of -$209.5M in FY2025 alongside substantial cash burn.

Market cap
$783.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$87.5M
P/E
—
1Y return
-9.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$17.22
99.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $87.5M, driven by a 1775.4% year-over-year revenue growth rate in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Wall Street sentiment is positive with 9 Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $17.22, implying 99.1% upside above the $8.65 closing price.
  • The balance sheet maintains positive net cash of $52.0M with $136.4M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • Verastem reported an operating cash outflow and free cash outflow of -$137.5M in FY2025 alongside a net loss of -$209.5M.
  • Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the company's five-year share count change expanding by 557.7%.
  • Long-term performance has lagged broader markets, with a 5-year return of -73.9% against an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

What Verastem does

Verastem, Inc., based in Needham, Massachusetts, is an innovative developmental-stage biopharmaceutical firm focused on researching and commercializing cancer therapies. Its pipeline centers on VS-6766, a dual inhibitor targeting RAF and MEK pathways crucial to cancer cell survival and proliferation. Verastem is evaluating VS-6766 alongside defactinib, an oral FAK inhibitor, in clinical trials including RAMP 201 for recurrent low-grade serous ovarian cancer and RAMP 202 for KRAS and BRAF mutant non-small cell lung cancer. The company has entered strategic partnerships, including a licensing agreement with Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for VS-6766, and clinical collaborations with Pfizer Inc. and Amgen, Inc.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded significantly from $2.1M in FY2021 to $30.9M in FY2025, posting a five-year revenue CAGR of 12.1% through FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 1775.4% year-over-year, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $87.5M. However, operating expenses and high research and development spending, which totaled $114.6M in FY2025, have led to sustained losses. In FY2025, net income was -$209.5M with an operating margin of -550.3%, compared to a net income of -$130.6M in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months, profit margin was -231.6% and operating margin was -81.6%, resulting in an EPS of -$2.45.

VSTM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Verastem held $136.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $84.3M, leaving net cash of $52.0M. The company's current ratio stood at 2.25, while debt-to-equity was 1.69 on shareholders' equity of $50.0M. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$137.5M, matching a free cash flow of -$137.5M. Capital expenditures reached $9.6M in FY2025, and the five-year share count change was 557.7%.

VSTM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Verastem trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 9.0x and an enterprise-value-to-revenue ratio of 7.9x, based on an enterprise value of $688.3M and a market cap of $783.4M. Its price-to-sales ratio exceeds the US-listed Healthcare median of 4.1x. The stock has a price-to-book multiple of 14.8x. Over the past year, Verastem returned -9.0%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock has dropped 73.9% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

VSTM key metrics →

What analysts expect

Verastem is covered by Wall Street analysts with 9 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Buy rating. The mean price target is $17.22, which represents a 99.1% upside compared to the last close price of $8.65 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $111.3M and an EPS of -$1.80. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

VSTM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The ongoing cash burn of -$137.5M in free cash flow during FY2025 could increase reliance on future financing or equity issuance.
  • Operating margins remain deeply negative at -81.6% over the trailing twelve months due to extensive clinical development costs.
  • A short interest position equal to 16.6% of float signals elevated market skepticism regarding clinical or commercial execution.
  • Total debt of $84.3M against shareholders' equity of $50.0M results in an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 1.69.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this VSTM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Verastem, Inc. (VSTM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VSTM income statement, VSTM balance sheet, VSTM key metrics, VSTM analyst forecast, VSTM chart. See the VSTM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

VSTM AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Verastem pay a dividend?

No, Verastem does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward research and clinical development programs.

What are Verastem's primary drug candidates and trials?

Verastem is developing VS-6766, a dual RAF/MEK inhibitor, and defactinib, a FAK inhibitor. Its main active studies include the RAMP 201 trial in recurrent low-grade serous ovarian cancer and RAMP 202 in non-small cell lung cancer.

What is the consensus analyst target for VSTM stock?

The mean analyst price target is $17.22, which is 99.1% above the closing price of $8.65 recorded on October 16, 2026. The stock holds 9 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Buy rating.

When is Verastem's next earnings report?

Verastem's next earnings report is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

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