Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: VRCAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

VRCA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on treatments for skin diseases, led by product candidate VP-102. In FY2025, revenue grew 370.2% to $35.6M, but the company remains unprofitable with a net loss of -$17.9M and negative operating cash flow of -$17.6M. For the trailing twelve months, revenue stood at $30.3M with quarterly revenue down 53.9% year-over-year.

Market cap
$61.8M
Revenue (TTM)
$30.3M
P/E
—
1Y return
-15.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$13.83
284.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Annual revenue increased 370.2% in FY2025 to reach $35.6M, supported by a 90.3% gross margin.
  • Wall Street analysts set a mean price target of $13.83, implying 284.8% upside relative to the last close of $3.60.
  • The balance sheet carries $9.4M in net cash with total debt of $1.8M as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • Revenue in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, dropped 53.9% year-over-year, and TTM net profit margin sits at -102.8%.
  • Cash burn remains negative, with free cash flow of -$17.6M in FY2025 following -$61.0M in FY2024.
  • Share count has expanded 674.2% over five years, diluting existing equity holders.

What Verrica Pharmaceuticals does

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a dedicated dermatology therapeutics company focused on advancing treatments for skin diseases across the United States. Its lead product candidate is VP-102, designed for the treatment of molluscum contagiosum, which has completed Phase II trials for external genital warts and is undergoing Phase II trials for common warts. Verrica is also developing VP-103, a cantharidin-based candidate for plantar warts. The company maintains a collaboration agreement with Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. to develop and commercialize candidates in Japan, as well as a license agreement with Lytix Biopharma AS to develop LTX-315 for dermatological oncology indications.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Verrica posted a 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.3%. Annual revenue was $12.0M in FY2021, $9.0M in FY2022, and $5.1M in FY2023, before rising 47.7% to $7.6M in FY2024 and expanding 370.2% to $35.6M in FY2025. Gross margin was 90.3% in FY2025, while operating margin improved to -33.6% from -871.3% in FY2024. Net income was -$17.9M in FY2025 with an EPS of -$1.29. Research and development expense totaled $8.9M in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 53.9% year-over-year, and trailing twelve-month revenue reached $30.3M with an operating margin of -194.5% and EPS of -$1.75.

VRCA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Verrica held $11.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.8M, producing net cash of $9.4M. Shareholders' equity was $4.3M against total assets of $36.0M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 and a current ratio of 1.45. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$17.6M, and free cash flow was -$17.6M. The company does not conduct share buybacks or pay dividends, while its share count increased 674.2% over 5 years.

VRCA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Verrica trades at an enterprise value of $70.8M and a market capitalization of $61.8M. Its price-to-sales ratio is 2.0x, which is below the 4.1x median of its US-listed Healthcare peers, while its enterprise value-to-revenue ratio is 2.3x. Price-to-book stands at 18.6x. Over the past year, the stock fell 15.0%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 97.3% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500. Year-to-date return is -56.7%, and the stock sits 38.4% below its 200-day average.

VRCA key metrics →

What analysts expect

Consensus ratings include 6 Strong Buy and 1 Hold recommendations, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $13.83, representing 284.8% upside from the last close of $3.60. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $24.8M and an EPS of -$1.97. For next fiscal year, 4 analysts project revenue of $39.2M (up 58.0%) and an EPS of -$1.48. Verrica beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 13, 2026.

VRCA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Cash and short-term investments stood at $11.2M on June 30, 2026, compared to FY2025 operating cash burn of -$17.6M.
  • The stock has a beta of 1.61 and trades 38.4% below its 200-day average, showing elevated volatility.
  • Trailing twelve-month return on equity is -240.4%, reflecting ongoing operational losses.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this VRCA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VRCA income statement, VRCA balance sheet, VRCA key metrics, VRCA analyst forecast, VRCA chart. See the VRCA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

VRCA AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Verrica Pharmaceuticals' lead drug candidate?

Verrica's lead product candidate is VP-102, designed for the treatment of molluscum contagiosum. It has also completed Phase II trials for external genital warts and is undergoing Phase II trials for common warts.

Does Verrica Pharmaceuticals pay a dividend?

No, Verrica Pharmaceuticals does not pay a dividend.

What are analysts forecasting for VRCA revenue?

Analysts estimate revenue of $24.8M for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and $39.2M for the following fiscal year.

How much cash and debt does Verrica have?

As of June 30, 2026, Verrica held $11.2M in cash and short-term investments against $1.8M in total debt, leaving net cash of $9.4M.

Who owns VRCA stock?

Insiders own 49.0% of Verrica's shares, while institutional investors hold 27.1%, and short interest represents 2.2% of the float.

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