Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE American: TGENAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TGEN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Tecogen Inc. (TGEN) designs, manufactures, and maintains clean cogeneration systems across three operating segments. In FY2025, revenue increased 19.7% to $27.1M, but net losses widened to -$8.2M with free cash flow of -$10.3M. In the trailing twelve months, operating margin stands at -37.4% while net cash totals $4.2M as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$63.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$24.6M
P/E
—
fwd 22.5x
1Y return
-79.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$8.17
290.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to expand 128.5% to $59.0M with a positive EPS of $0.15.
  • The balance sheet maintains net cash of $4.2M and a current ratio of 2.93 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The mean analyst price target of $8.17 represents a 290.8% premium over the last close of $2.09.

Bear case

  • Tecogen incurred an annual net loss of -$8.2M and free cash flow of -$10.3M in FY2025.
  • In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 21.2% year-over-year while quarterly earnings fell 94.9%.
  • Shares have declined 79.8% over the past year and trade 47.1% below their 200-day moving average.

What Tecogen does

Tecogen Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, and maintains cogeneration products for multi-family residential, commercial, recreational, and industrial use in the United States. It operates across three segments: Products, Services, and Energy Production. The Products segment provides industrial and commercial cogeneration systems and refrigeration compressors to customers such as hospitals, schools, hotels, multi-unit residential buildings, and food processors. Its Services segment delivers operations, maintenance, parts sales, and installation services. Under the Energy Production segment, Tecogen installs, operates, and maintains distributed generation systems, selling electricity, heat, hot water, and cooling under long-term agreements. Its portfolio includes InVerde e+, TecoPower, and Tecochill chiller systems.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, Tecogen recorded a 5-year revenue CAGR of -0.9%. Annual revenue fluctuated from $24.4M in FY2021 to $25.0M in FY2022, $25.1M in FY2023, and $22.6M in FY2024 before rising 19.7% to $27.1M in FY2025. Gross margin contracted over this timeframe from 47.5% in FY2021 to 36.3% in FY2025. Operating margin declined from -5.0% in FY2021 to -26.3% in FY2025. Net income was $3.7M in FY2021 but fell into consecutive losses, reaching -$8.2M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $24.6M with a profit margin of -42.3%, as quarterly revenue fell 21.2% year-over-year.

TGEN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Tecogen held $6.8M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $2.6M, resulting in net cash of $4.2M. Total assets stood at $31.6M against shareholders' equity of $17.7M. The company maintains liquidity with a current ratio of 2.93 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$9.9M and capital expenditures were $400,781, resulting in free cash flow of -$10.3M. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased by 19.4%.

TGEN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Tecogen has a market capitalization of $63.1M and an enterprise value of $90.9M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 2.6x and a forward P/E of 22.5x, compared to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 1.5x and 17.2x, respectively. Its price-to-book ratio is 5.4x, and EV-to-revenue is 3.7x. Over the past year, TGEN shares declined 79.8%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 18.7% compared to an 83.0% return for the benchmark.

TGEN key metrics →

What analysts expect

For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $25.8M and an EPS of -$0.29. For the next fiscal year, 1 analyst estimates revenue will grow 128.5% to $59.0M, with EPS projected at $0.15. The mean price target is $8.17, which stands 290.8% above the last closing price of $2.09. Over the last four quarters, the company met or exceeded earnings expectations with 2 EPS beats. The next earnings date is November 11, 2026.

TGEN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Continued negative free cash flow of -$10.3M recorded in FY2025 could deplete the $6.8M in cash and short-term investments.
  • Gross margin contracted from 47.5% in FY2021 to 36.3% in FY2025, pointing to ongoing cost pressure.
  • A 19.4% increase in share count over five years reflects ongoing equity dilution.
  • A beta of 2.22 exposes investors to significant price volatility relative to the broader market.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TGEN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Tecogen Inc. (TGEN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TGEN income statement, TGEN balance sheet, TGEN key metrics, TGEN analyst forecast, TGEN chart. See the TGEN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TGEN AI stock analysis FAQ

What products does Tecogen sell?

Tecogen designs, manufactures, and services natural gas-powered cogeneration units such as InVerde e+ and TecoPower, as well as Tecochill refrigeration and air-conditioning chillers.

What was Tecogen's revenue in FY2025?

In FY2025, Tecogen generated revenue of $27.1M, representing an increase of 19.7% compared to FY2024.

Does Tecogen have a net cash position?

Yes, as of June 30, 2026, Tecogen held $6.8M in cash and short-term investments and $2.6M in total debt, leaving net cash of $4.2M.

Does Tecogen pay a dividend?

No, Tecogen does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.

When is Tecogen's next earnings report?

Tecogen's next earnings report is scheduled for November 11, 2026.

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