Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TARS) AI Stock Analysis
TARS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: TARS) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on ophthalmic conditions. The company generated $606.3M in trailing twelve months revenue with quarterly revenue growth of 69.4% year-over-year. Tarsus maintains a strong balance sheet with $361.0M in net cash as of June 30, 2026, though it remains unprofitable with an annual net income of -$66.4M in FY2025.
- Market cap
- $3.19B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $606.3M
- P/E
- — fwd 68.0x
- 1Y return
- -9.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $99.80 46.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded 146.7% to $451.4M in FY2025, supported by high gross margins of 93.2%.
- Net cash stood at $361.0M as of June 30, 2026, with a healthy current ratio of 3.20.
- Wall Street analysts hold a mean price target of $99.80, implying a 46.6% premium over the last close of $68.07.
Bear case
- The company remains unprofitable, recording an EPS of -$1.08 and an operating margin of -11.5% for the trailing twelve months.
- Tarsus trades at an elevated forward P/E of 68.0x compared to 17.3x for the US-listed Healthcare peer median.
- Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the share count increasing 110.3% over the past 5 years.
What Tarsus Pharmaceuticals does
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., headquartered in Irvine, California, is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to advancing novel therapeutic candidates for ophthalmic conditions. Its primary focus is addressing unmet medical needs in eye care, led by TP-03, a therapeutic in Phase III clinical trials for blepharitis caused by Demodex mite infestation and meibomian gland disease. The company is also advancing TP-04 for rosacea and TP-05 for Lyme disease prophylaxis and community malaria reduction. Additionally, Tarsus develops lotilaner to treat diseases across diverse therapeutic categories, including dermatological conditions.
Growth and profitability
Tarsus grew revenue from $57.0M in FY2021 to $451.4M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 68.3%. After revenue fell 54.7% in FY2022 to $25.8M and 32.4% in FY2023 to $17.4M, the company experienced substantial expansion, with revenue increasing 948.6% in FY2024 to $183.0M and 146.7% in FY2025. Gross margin has remained high, reaching 93.2% in FY2025. Operating margin improved from -820.5% in FY2023 to -15.7% in FY2025, while net losses narrowed to -$66.4M. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $606.3M with quarterly revenue growing 69.4% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Tarsus held $449.7M in cash and short-term investments against $88.7M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $361.0M. The company maintains solid liquidity with a current ratio of 3.20 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 on $346.7M of shareholders' equity. Operating cash flow improved to -$12.5M in FY2025 compared to -$83.0M in FY2024, yielding free cash flow of -$22.3M after capital expenditures of $9.9M. The share count increased 110.3% over five years.
Valuation and performance
With a market cap of $3.19B and enterprise value of $3.10B, Tarsus trades at a forward P/E of 68.0x, above the 17.3x forward P/E median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its price-to-sales multiple sits at 5.3x compared to the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned -9.2%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, however, the stock has gained 138.7% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment is positive, with 9 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Buy rating. The mean price target of $99.80 represents a 46.6% upside from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $68.07. Consensus estimates project FY2026 revenue of $727.5M with an EPS of -$4.88, followed by FY2027 revenue of $920.0M and an EPS of -$0.50. Tarsus beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Tarsus recorded negative free cash flow of -$22.3M in FY2025 and an annual net loss of -$66.4M.
- The stock carries a short interest representing 13.4% of float as of October 16, 2026.
- EPS is estimated to drop to -$4.88 for the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TARS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TARS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TARS income statement, TARS balance sheet, TARS key metrics, TARS analyst forecast, TARS chart. See the TARS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TARS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Tarsus Pharmaceuticals' lead pipeline product?
The company's lead therapeutic candidate is TP-03, which is in Phase III clinical trials for blepharitis caused by Demodex mite infestation and meibomian gland disease.
Is Tarsus Pharmaceuticals profitable?
No, Tarsus is not profitable. It reported a net loss of -$66.4M in FY2025 and a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -7.7%.
How much cash and debt does Tarsus have?
As of June 30, 2026, Tarsus held $449.7M in cash and short-term investments and $88.7M in total debt, giving it a net cash position of $361.0M.
Does Tarsus Pharmaceuticals pay a dividend?
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals does not pay a dividend.