Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) AI Stock Analysis
RVMD AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchRevolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) is a clinical-stage precision oncology company developing therapies targeting RAS-addicted cancers. The company holds $3.94B in cash and short-term investments alongside a market cap of $38.14B, despite generating revenue of $742,000 over the trailing twelve months. Its 1-year return of 258.2% outpaced the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%.
- Market cap
- $38.14B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $742,000
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- 258.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $257.80 44.9% vs last close
Bull case
- The company maintains a strong liquidity cushion with $3.94B in cash and short-term investments and $3.30B in net cash as of June 30, 2026.
- Analysts project revenue to reach $1.27B in the next fiscal year, representing an estimated growth rate of 573.5%.
- The consensus mean price target of $257.80 represents 44.9% upside potential from the last close of $177.96.
Bear case
- Revenue over the trailing twelve months was only $742,000, while quarterly revenue fell 95.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Diluted EPS over the trailing twelve months was -$8.87, and analysts expect an annual EPS of -$9.59 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
- The company's share count increased 185.6% over a 5-year period, reflecting substantial equity dilution.
What Revolution Medicines does
Revolution Medicines, Inc. is a clinical-stage precision oncology company focused on developing therapies that inhibit targets in RAS-addicted cancers. Headquartered in Redwood City, California, the company's pipeline includes RMC-4630, a SHP2 inhibitor in Phase 1/2 clinical trials for solid tumors such as gynecologic and colorectal cancers. Its development programs also feature RMC-5845 targeting SOS1, RMC-5552 targeting mTORC1 signaling, RMC-6291 targeting KRASG12C(ON) and NRASG12C(ON), and RMC-6236 targeting multiple RAS(ON) variants. In addition, the company maintains a strategic collaboration agreement with Sanofi to research and develop SHP2 inhibitors, including RMC-4630.
Growth and profitability
Revenue contracted at a 5-year CAGR of -10.5% from FY2018 to FY2023. Annual revenue decreased from $50.0M in FY2019 to $11.6M in FY2023, while net losses expanded from -$47.7M to -$436.4M over the same timeframe. Research and development expenses increased from $91.8M in FY2019 to $423.1M in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $742,000, with quarterly revenue declining 95.2% year-over-year. Diluted earnings per share were -$8.87 over the trailing twelve months, reflecting continued clinical-stage spending without commercial product revenue.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Revolution Medicines held $3.94B in cash and short-term investments and $641.9M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $3.30B. Total assets stood at $4.32B against shareholders' equity of $2.61B. The company reported a current ratio of 11.38 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25. In FY2025, capital expenditures were $16.0M, while share issuance contributed $8.0M. Its 5-year share count change was 185.6%.
Valuation and performance
Revolution Medicines trades at a price-to-book ratio of 15.7x, with a market capitalization of $38.14B and an enterprise value of $37.58B. These figures compare to a median price-to-sales ratio of 4.1x, a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.6x, and an enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 12.0x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. The company's stock advanced 258.2% over the past year, exceeding the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and gained 560.3% over the past 5 years versus 83.0% for the index.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 18 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $257.80 indicates upside of 44.9% compared to the last close of $177.96 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$9.59 and revenue of $188.4M. For next fiscal year, 24 analysts estimate revenue of $1.27B and EPS of -$5.83. The company recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating losses continue to require capital, as shown by R&D expenses that rose to $423.1M in FY2023.
- The company reported 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters heading into its next earnings announcement on November 4, 2026.
- With a beta of 1.40, the stock has experienced high volatility between its 52-week low of $52.40 and 52-week high of $224.31.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this RVMD AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: RVMD income statement, RVMD balance sheet, RVMD key metrics, RVMD analyst forecast, RVMD chart. See the RVMD stock overview for the latest quote and news.
RVMD AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Revolution Medicines pay a dividend?
No, Revolution Medicines does not pay a dividend. The company focuses its financial resources on research and development, which totaled $423.1M in FY2023.
What is Revolution Medicines' cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $3.94B in cash and short-term investments against $641.9M in total debt, giving it $3.30B in net cash.
What are analysts' price targets for RVMD stock?
Wall Street analysts have a mean price target of $257.80 for RVMD, which stands 44.9% above its October 16, 2026 closing price of $177.96.
When is Revolution Medicines' next earnings report?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 4, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$9.59.