Transocean Ltd. (RIG) AI Stock Analysis
RIG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTransocean Ltd. (RIG) provides international offshore contract drilling services for oil and gas wells, operating ultra-deepwater rigs and harsh environment floaters. Annual revenue expanded to $3.96B in FY2025 with $626.0M in free cash flow, though trailing twelve-month net profit margin was -40.2%. The balance sheet carries $5.12B in total debt against $509.0M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $6.28B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.12B
- P/E
- — fwd 15.2x
- 1Y return
- 74.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $6.55 16.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Annual revenue increased 12.5% in FY2025 to $3.96B, supported by gross margin expansion to 83.4%.
- Free cash flow improved to $626.0M in FY2025 after negative free cash flow results in FY2022 and FY2023.
- The analyst consensus mean price target of $6.55 represents a 16.6% upside over the last close of $5.62.
Bear case
- Transocean maintains total debt of $5.12B against $509.0M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Trailing twelve-month net profit margin was -40.2%, with an EPS of -$1.60 and net income of -$2.92B in FY2025.
- Share count increased 84.1% over 5 years, with an additional $421.0M of share issuance in FY2025.
What Transocean does
Transocean Ltd., headquartered in Steinhausen, Switzerland, specializes in providing offshore contract drilling services worldwide for oil and gas wells. The company leases out its fleet of mobile offshore drilling rigs, associated equipment, and skilled crews to integrated energy companies, government-owned entities, and independent producers. As of February 14, 2022, Transocean operated a fleet of 37 mobile offshore drilling units, including 27 ultra-deepwater rigs and 10 harsh environment floaters. The business traces its history back to 1926 and focuses on drilling in challenging offshore environments.
Growth and profitability
Transocean grew annual revenue from $2.56B in FY2021 to $3.96B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.7% from FY2020 to FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 71.0% in FY2021 to 83.4% in FY2025, while operating margin improved from -4.4% to 17.8%. Net income remained negative over most of this span, posting -$2.92B in FY2025 despite an EPS of $0.03. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $4.12B with an operating margin of 17.4% and an EPS of -$1.60. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 2.2% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Transocean held $509.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $5.12B, resulting in net debt of $4.61B. The company recorded total assets of $15.17B and shareholders' equity of $8.37B, with a current ratio of 1.59 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $749.0M, supporting capital expenditures of $123.0M and generating free cash flow of $626.0M. In addition, the company completed $421.0M in share issuance in FY2025, with its share count increasing 84.1% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $5.62, Transocean had a market cap of $6.28B and an enterprise value of $10.72B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 15.2x compared to 12.7x for the median of its US-listed Energy peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 14.2x is above the peer median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales of 1.5x sits below the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, Transocean returned 74.0%, outpacing the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 40.1% trailed SPY's 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 5 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $6.55 stands 16.6% above the last close of $5.62. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.16 and revenue of $3.94B. For the following fiscal year, 9 analysts project EPS of $0.29 on revenue of $3.89B, reflecting an expected revenue decline of 1.2%. Transocean beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue fell 2.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, and analysts forecast a 1.2% revenue decline for the next fiscal year.
- Short interest stands at 29.4% of float, indicating elevated negative positioning among market participants.
- A beta of 1.41 signals higher price volatility than the broader equity market.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this RIG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Transocean Ltd. (RIG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: RIG income statement, RIG balance sheet, RIG key metrics, RIG analyst forecast, RIG chart. See the RIG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
RIG AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Transocean pay a dividend?
Transocean does not currently pay a dividend based on the provided data.
What is Transocean's debt load?
As of June 30, 2026, Transocean carried $5.12B in total debt and $509.0M in cash and short-term investments, yielding net debt of $4.61B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61.
When is Transocean's next earnings report?
Transocean's next earnings date is scheduled for November 2, 2026.
What are analysts forecasting for Transocean's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of $0.16 on revenue of $3.94B, followed by an EPS estimate of $0.29 on revenue of $3.89B for the next fiscal year.