Research Frontiers Incorporated (REFR) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: REFRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

REFR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Research Frontiers Incorporated (REFR) develops and licenses suspended particle device (SPD-Smart) light-control technologies. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $654,233 in revenue with an operating margin of -775.7% and diluted EPS of -$0.06. Its shares closed at $0.56 on October 16, 2026, marking a 1-year return of -65.3%.

Market cap
$19.5M
Revenue (TTM)
$654,233
P/E
—
fwd 94.3x
1Y return
-65.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$3.00
435.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • The analyst mean price target of $3.00 implies an upside of 435.7% from the last close of $0.56.
  • Gross margin remained positive at 83.4% in FY2025, recovering from -159.4% in FY2023.
  • Short-term liquidity is supported by a current ratio of 3.54 and cash of $1.1M as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 33.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, leading to TTM revenue of just $654,233.
  • The company continues to burn cash, posting free cash flow of -$1.3M in FY2025 and an operating margin of -775.7% over the trailing twelve months.
  • Share count has increased 10.2% over 5 years, while the stock has declined 75.8% over the same period.

What Research Frontiers does

Research Frontiers Incorporated, founded in 1965 and based in Woodbury, New York, focuses on the development and global marketing of light-control technologies. Its core offering is suspended particle device (SPD-Smart) technology, which dynamically controls light transmission. The company licenses this technology to manufacturers that produce chemical emulsions, light-control films, and laminated panels. It also provides electronics to power end-products and lamination services for windows, skylights, and sunroofs. Applications span architectural settings, automotive sunroofs and visors, aircraft windows, museum displays, eyewear, marine vessels, appliances, and flat panel displays.

Growth and profitability

Revenue has fluctuated over recent fiscal years, moving from $1.3M in FY2021 down to $539,686 in FY2022, before rebounding to $909,598 in FY2023 and $1.3M in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue fell 16.0% to $1.1M, with a gross margin of 83.4% and an operating margin of -190.2%. Net income for FY2025 was -$2.0M, or -$0.06 per share. Research Frontiers generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth dropped 33.5% year-over-year, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $654,233 with an operating margin of -775.7%.

REFR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Research Frontiers held $1.1M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.1M, resulting in net debt of $6,589. Total assets stood at $2.5M against shareholders' equity of $1.1M, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.97 and a current ratio of 3.54. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$1.3M, and free cash flow was -$1.3M. Capital expenditures for FY2025 were $726, while the company's share count expanded 10.2% over 5 years.

REFR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

With a market cap of $19.5M and an enterprise value of $24.3M, REFR trades at a forward P/E of 94.3x, well above the 18.8x median of its US-listed Technology peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 29.9x and EV-to-revenue multiple of 21.5x also trade at premiums to the peer median price-to-sales of 2.8x. Over the past year, REFR shares returned -65.3%, compared to a 16.8% return for SPY. Over 5 years, REFR returned -75.8% versus an 83.0% gain for SPY.

REFR key metrics →

What analysts expect

Analysts maintain a mean price target of $3.00 for REFR, which sits 435.7% above the last close of $0.56 on October 16, 2026. The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026. Insider ownership accounts for 15.3% of shares, while institutional ownership stands at 10.5%, and short interest represents 3.1% of the float.

Key risks and what to watch

  • With cash of $1.1M and FY2025 operating cash flow of -$1.3M, continuing cash burn poses ongoing liquidity risks.
  • Revenue remains volatile, declining 16.0% in FY2025 and 33.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter.
  • Valuation multiples are elevated, with price-to-sales at 29.9x compared to the US-listed Technology peer median of 2.8x.
  • The stock is down 57.3% year-to-date and trades 29.0% below its 200-day average.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this REFR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Research Frontiers Incorporated (REFR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: REFR income statement, REFR balance sheet, REFR key metrics, REFR chart. See the REFR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

REFR AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Research Frontiers' core business?

Research Frontiers develops and licenses its SPD-Smart suspended particle device technology, which allows for dynamic control of light transmission in automotive, architectural, aerospace, and display applications.

Does REFR pay a dividend?

No, Research Frontiers does not pay a dividend.

What are analysts forecasting for REFR stock?

Analysts have established a mean price target of $3.00, which represents a 435.7% premium over its October 16, 2026 closing price of $0.56.

When is REFR's next earnings report?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

More Technology AI stock analysis