Medpace Holdings, Inc. (MEDP) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MEDPAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MEDP AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Medpace Holdings, Inc. (MEDP) is a clinical research organization providing Phase I through Phase IV clinical trial services for biotechnology, pharmaceutical, and medical device companies. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.78B in revenue with a net profit margin of 17.7% and return on equity of 162.2%. In FY2025, Medpace produced $681.9M in free cash flow while deploying $917.4M into share repurchases.

Market cap
$17.26B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.78B
P/E
36.3x
fwd 31.9x
1Y return
18.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$595.92
-3.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Five-year revenue expanded at a compound annual growth rate of 22.3%, reaching $2.53B in FY2025.
  • Medpace holds a net cash balance of $358.6M as of June 30, 2026, supported by $681.9M in FY2025 free cash flow.
  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 37.1% year-over-year.

Bear case

  • The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 36.3x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 27.6x, well above the US-listed Healthcare peer medians of 24.6x and 12.0x.
  • The mean price target of $595.92 sits 3.6% below the last close of $618.47, with 11 Hold ratings and 1 Strong Sell rating recorded.
  • Revenue growth is estimated to decelerate to 6.3% in the next fiscal year, compared to 20.0% achieved in FY2025.

What Medpace does

Medpace Holdings, Inc. specializes in providing comprehensive clinical research services for the development of pharmaceuticals and medical devices across North America, Europe, and Asia. Operating since 1992, the company provides a full spectrum of services spanning Phase I through Phase IV clinical trials for pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device clients. Its services include strategic development planning, centralized laboratory services, project management, regulatory affairs, clinical monitoring, data management and analysis, pharmacovigilance, and post-marketing support. Headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, Medpace also operates bio-analytical laboratories, imaging services, electrocardiography reading capabilities, and human pharmacology clinics.

Growth and profitability

Medpace grew revenue from $1.14B in FY2021 to $2.53B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.3%. During this period, net income increased from $181.8M in FY2021 to $451.1M in FY2025, while EPS climbed from $4.91 to $15.30. Operating margin improved from 17.4% in FY2021 to 21.1% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 17.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings expanded 37.1% year-over-year. Trailing twelve month revenue reached $2.78B with an operating margin of 20.8% and EPS of $17.03.

MEDP income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Medpace held $502.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $144.1M, yielding net cash of $358.6M. Shareholders' equity was $433.9M, with total assets of $2.06B, a current ratio of 0.73, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33. In FY2025, the company generated $713.2M in operating cash flow, invested $31.4M in capital expenditures, and spent $917.4M on share buybacks, which contributed to a 5-year share count change of -23.8%.

MEDP balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Medpace has a market capitalization of $17.26B and an enterprise value of $16.84B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 36.3x and a forward P/E of 31.9x, both at a premium to the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 24.6x and 17.3x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA stands at 27.6x, compared to the peer median of 12.0x, while its price-to-sales is 6.2x versus 4.1x for peers. Over the past 1 year, MEDP gained 18.7%, outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and delivered a 5-year return of 230.6% versus 83.0% for SPY.

MEDP key metrics →

What analysts expect

Analyst ratings stand at 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 11 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell. The mean price target is $595.92, representing a 3.6% discount to the last close of $618.47. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.85B and EPS of $17.72, reflecting 15.9% EPS growth. Medpace has recorded 4 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 21, 2026.

MEDP forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The current ratio of 0.73 indicates short-term obligations exceed current liquid assets.
  • Projected revenue growth slows to 6.3% next fiscal year, which could test the stock's PEG ratio of 2.93.
  • The stock carries a beta of 1.18, reflecting higher price volatility than the broader equity market.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MEDP AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Medpace Holdings, Inc. (MEDP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MEDP income statement, MEDP balance sheet, MEDP key metrics, MEDP analyst forecast, MEDP chart. See the MEDP stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MEDP AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Medpace's revenue and earnings performance in FY2025?

In FY2025, Medpace generated revenue of $2.53B, representing 20.0% growth, and net income of $451.1M, yielding diluted EPS of $15.30.

Does Medpace pay a dividend?

Medpace does not pay a regular dividend, returning capital through share buybacks that totaled $917.4M in FY2025.

How does Medpace's valuation compare to sector peers?

Medpace trades at a forward P/E of 31.9x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 27.6x, compared to the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 17.3x and 12.0x, respectively.

What are analysts' price targets and ratings for MEDP?

Medpace has 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 11 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings, with a mean price target of $595.92.

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