Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: JOBYAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

JOBY AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) is an air mobility company developing vertically integrated electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban ridesharing. The company generated $116.3M in trailing twelve-month revenue through June 30, 2026, but remains unprofitable with a net loss of -$929.8M in FY2025. It maintains a strong liquidity profile with $2.26B in cash and short-term investments alongside a net cash position of $1.53B.

Market cap
$4.64B
Revenue (TTM)
$116.3M
P/E
—
1Y return
-71.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$10.01
114.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve-month revenue grew to $116.3M with quarterly revenue jumping 257493.3% year-over-year as of June 30, 2026.
  • Joby holds a strong balance sheet with $2.26B in cash and short-term investments and a net cash surplus of $1.53B.
  • Wall Street analysts have set a mean price target of $10.01, reflecting a 114.8% premium over the share price of $4.66.

Bear case

  • Operating losses remain extensive, with FY2025 net income coming in at -$929.8M and free cash flow at -$563.8M.
  • Valuation is elevated with a price-to-sales ratio of 39.9x compared to the US-listed Industrials peer median of 1.5x.
  • Stock performance has lagged significantly, dropping 71.0% over the trailing twelve months and sitting 49.0% below its 200-day average.

What Joby Aviation does

Joby Aviation, Inc. is a pioneering air mobility company based in Santa Cruz, California, founded in 2009. The company has embraced vertical integration to develop cutting-edge electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft designed to provide efficient and sustainable aerial mobility services. Its primary objective is to build an innovative aerial ridesharing service that delivers convenient, environmentally friendly transportation options to urban commuters. By combining advanced aerodynamics, electric propulsion systems, and noise reduction technologies, Joby Aviation focuses on safety, operational excellence, and reducing congestion and carbon emissions in densely populated urban centers.

Growth and profitability

Joby has scaled revenue from $1.0M in FY2023 to $136,000 in FY2024, before increasing to $53.4M in FY2025, reflecting a 2-year revenue CAGR of 619.5%. Revenue for the trailing twelve months reached $116.3M as of June 30, 2026, driven by a quarterly revenue increase of 257493.3% year-over-year. Operating margins were deeply negative at -45745.5% in FY2023, -438789.7% in FY2024, and -1346.9% in FY2025, with R&D expenses climbing to $581.1M in FY2025. Annual net losses expanded from -$513.0M in FY2023 to -$608.0M in FY2024 and -$929.8M in FY2025, producing diluted EPS of -$0.88 in FY2025 and trailing twelve-month EPS of -$0.97.

JOBY income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Joby Aviation held $2.26B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $735.4M, resulting in net cash of $1.53B. The company closed the period with a current ratio of 17.98, total assets of $2.75B, and shareholders' equity of $1.77B. Operating cash flow stood at -$509.9M in FY2025, while capital expenditures reached $53.9M, leading to free cash flow of -$563.8M. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased 64.0%.

JOBY balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Joby Aviation trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 39.9x and an enterprise-value-to-revenue multiple of 40.5x, well above the 1.5x price-to-sales median of its US-listed Industrials peers. Its price-to-book ratio is 3.5x based on a market cap of $4.64B and enterprise value of $4.71B. Over the 1-year period, JOBY stock declined 71.0%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock is down 46.2% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

JOBY key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover JOBY with 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 4 Hold, 2 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $10.01, representing a 114.8% upside relative to the last close of $4.66 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations project revenue of $120.8M and an EPS of -$0.77. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 4, 2026.

JOBY forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Ongoing cash burn could pressure liquidity after free cash flow recorded -$563.8M in FY2025.
  • Dilution risk remains elevated after the 5-year share count expanded by 64.0%.
  • High market volatility is evident given a beta of 2.66 and a short interest of 19.0% of the float.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this JOBY AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: JOBY income statement, JOBY balance sheet, JOBY key metrics, JOBY analyst forecast, JOBY chart. See the JOBY stock overview for the latest quote and news.

JOBY AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Joby Aviation do?

Joby Aviation, Inc. is a vertically integrated air mobility company founded in 2009 in Santa Cruz, California. It manufactures electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft designed to power urban aerial ridesharing services.

Does Joby Aviation pay a dividend?

Joby Aviation does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward research and development, which totaled $581.1M in FY2025.

What is Joby Aviation's cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Joby held $2.26B in cash and short-term investments against $735.4M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $1.53B.

When is Joby Aviation's next earnings date?

Joby Aviation is scheduled to report earnings next on November 4, 2026.

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