ORIX Corporation (IX) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: IXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

IX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

ORIX Corporation (IX) is a Tokyo-based global diversified financial services firm operating across leasing, real estate, energy, and private equity. In FY2026, the company generated revenue of $3.53T, up 22.8%, with net income expanding to $475.04B. Over the trailing twelve months, it delivered a return on equity of 14.0% while its stock gained 50.5% over the past year.

Market cap
$39.71B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.46T
P/E
10.2x
fwd 14.2x
1Y return
50.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$41.09
11.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded 22.8% in FY2026 to $3.53T, accompanied by a 170.6% year-over-year surge in quarterly earnings for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Trailing twelve-month return on equity reached 14.0%, while operating margin widened to 21.8% in FY2026.
  • The stock has outperformed the broader market, returning 50.5% over the past year compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.

Bear case

  • Total debt of $6.31T substantially exceeds cash and short-term investments of $968.92B as of June 30, 2026, creating net debt of $5.34T.
  • Analyst estimates forecast an EPS contraction of 59.7% for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, followed by a further 41.6% drop the next year.
  • Dividends have seen an annualized 5-year contraction of -18.6%, despite a long 28-year payment history.

What ORIX does

Established in 1950 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, ORIX Corporation provides diversified financial services across Japan, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Australasia, and the Middle East. Its Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing unit offers finance, leasing, and rentals for automobiles, electronics, and ICT equipment, as well as life insurance and energy-related products. The Real Estate segment manages property development, residential and commercial management, and construction contracting. ORIX also operates in private equity investments and concessions, alongside an Environment and Energy division focused on renewable power, retail electricity, solar panels, and battery storage. In addition, it provides banking, consumer finance, aircraft and ship leasing, and global asset management.

Growth and profitability

ORIX Corporation grew its revenue from $2.51T in FY2022 to $3.53T in FY2026, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.0%. Growth accelerated in FY2026 with a 22.8% increase in revenue, while operating margin climbed to 21.8% from 11.5% in FY2025. Net income rose from $317.38B in FY2022 to $475.04B in FY2026, despite net profit margin adjusting from 37.5% gross margin in FY2022 to 32.1% in FY2026. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $3.46T with an operating margin of 21.5% and a profit margin of 17.9%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 17.4% year-over-year while quarterly earnings surged 170.6%.

IX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, ORIX held $968.92B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $6.31T, resulting in net debt of $5.34T. Shareholders' equity was $4.71T against total assets of $18.26T, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.34 and a current ratio of 1.68. Operating cash flow reached $1.37T in FY2026, with free cash flow standing at $37.13B after capital expenditures of $1.33T. In FY2026, the company allocated $150.00B to share buybacks and paid $170.80B in dividends, contributing to an 8.3% reduction in share count over 5 years.

IX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At its last close of $36.89 on October 16, 2026, ORIX traded at a trailing P/E of 10.2x and a forward P/E of 14.2x, compared to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-book ratio is 1.4x and enterprise value stands at $5.51T. Over the past year, IX returned 50.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, the stock returned 179.9% versus 83.0% for the index.

IX key metrics →

IX dividend

ORIX pays a semiannual dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.99 per share, representing a 2.68% dividend yield and a 29.4% payout ratio. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 28 years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth stands at -18.6%. Its last ex-dividend date was March 31, 2026.

IX dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 analyst rating the stock as Hold, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $41.09, representing an 11.4% premium over the last close of $36.89. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $3.45T and EPS of $5.15. For the subsequent year, 1 analyst models revenue of $3.65T, reflecting 5.7% growth. ORIX beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 11, 2026.

IX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High leverage is reflected in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.34 and net debt of $5.34T as of June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow dropped from $1.20T in FY2025 to $37.13B in FY2026 due to $1.33T in capital expenditures.
  • Wall Street coverage is limited to 1 analyst, who forecasts revenue to decline from $3.53T in FY2026 to $3.45T in the current fiscal year.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this IX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of ORIX Corporation (IX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: IX income statement, IX balance sheet, IX key metrics, IX analyst forecast, IX chart. See the IX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

IX AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does ORIX Corporation pay?

ORIX pays a semiannual dividend with an annual forward rate of $0.99, yielding 2.68% with a 29.4% payout ratio. It has paid dividends for 28 consecutive years, though its 5-year dividend growth rate is -18.6%.

When does ORIX report its next earnings?

ORIX is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 11, 2026. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

What is the analyst price target for IX stock?

The sole analyst covering the stock maintains a Hold rating with a mean price target of $41.09, which sits 11.4% above the last close of $36.89.

How much debt does ORIX Corporation have?

As of June 30, 2026, ORIX carried $6.31T in total debt and $968.92B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $5.34T and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.34.

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