Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) AI Stock Analysis
CEG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchConstellation Energy Corporation generates and sells electricity across the U.S. with 32,400 megawatts of generating capacity. The company delivered $25.53B in FY2025 revenue, swinging to positive free cash flow of $1.29B after several years of cash burn. However, trailing 12-month operating margin stands at 8.7%, and the stock carries $24.70B in total debt.
- Market cap
- $96.15B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $31.27B
- P/E
- 26.5x fwd 20.7x
- 1Y return
- -31.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $337.57 24.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow turned positive to $1.29B in FY2025 after negative free cash flow in each year from FY2021 through FY2024.
- Analyst consensus projects strong EPS expansion to $12.13 in FY2026, representing an estimated growth rate of 29.2%.
- Quarterly revenue grew 23.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
Bear case
- Total debt remains elevated at $24.70B against $1.08B in cash, producing net debt of $23.62B.
- Quarterly earnings fell 46.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Trailing P/E of 26.5x and forward P/E of 20.7x trade at a premium to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Utilities peers at 20.9x and 16.0x.
What Constellation Energy does
Constellation Energy Corporation specializes in the generation and sale of electricity and related energy products across the United States. The company is organized into five segments: Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and Other Power Regions. Its generating portfolio spans 32,400 megawatts of capacity across nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric assets. Constellation sells electricity, natural gas, and renewable energy solutions to distribution utilities, municipalities, cooperatives, and commercial, industrial, governmental, and residential customers.
Growth and profitability
Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 7.7% from FY2020 through FY2025. After rising to $24.92B in FY2023, revenue declined 5.4% to $23.57B in FY2024 before rebounding 8.3% to $25.53B in FY2025. Operating margin reached 18.5% in FY2024 but moderated to 12.1% in FY2025, alongside net income of $2.32B and EPS of $9.39. For the trailing 12 months, revenue reached $31.27B with net margin at 11.1%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 23.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings dropped 46.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Constellation held $1.08B in cash and short-term investments against $24.70B in total debt, leaving net debt at $23.62B. The debt-to-equity ratio was 0.77, and the current ratio stood at 1.46. In FY2025, operating cash flow turned positive to $4.24B, covering capital expenditures of $2.95B and yielding free cash flow of $1.29B. Capital returns in FY2025 included $400.0M in share buybacks and $486.0M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Constellation trades at a trailing P/E of 26.5x and a forward P/E of 20.7x, both higher than the median of its Nasdaq-100 Utilities peers at 20.9x and 16.0x, respectively. Its EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 15.2x also sits above the peer median of 12.6x. The stock has dropped 31.2% over the past 12 months, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Year-to-date, the stock has declined 22.8% and trades 4.3% below its 200-day moving average.
CEG dividend
Constellation pays a quarterly dividend, with an annual forward payout of $1.71 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.63%. The payout ratio is 15.7%, and dividends have been paid for 5 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was August 18, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment shows 13 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 3 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings, with 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $337.57 implies 24.4% upside over the last close of $271.37. For FY2026, analysts estimate EPS of $12.13 on revenue of $36.09B, followed by FY2027 estimates of $13.29 EPS on $37.36B revenue. Over the last four quarters, Constellation has beaten EPS estimates 2 times. The next earnings date is November 6, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High net debt of $23.62B could limit capital flexibility if operating cash flow weakens from FY2025 levels of $4.24B.
- The trailing 12-month operating margin of 8.7% trails the median of its Nasdaq-100 Utilities peers at 22.7%.
- Share count increased 8.4% over 5 years, diluting existing shareholders despite $400.0M in share buybacks during FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CEG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CEG income statement, CEG balance sheet, CEG key metrics, CEG analyst forecast, CEG chart. See the CEG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CEG AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Constellation Energy pay?
Constellation pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.71 annually per share, reflecting a 0.63% dividend yield. Its payout ratio is 15.7%, and the company has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years.
How does Constellation's valuation compare to utility peers?
Constellation trades at a forward P/E of 20.7x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 15.2x. Both multiples trade at a premium to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Utilities peers, which stand at 16.0x and 12.6x, respectively.
How much debt does Constellation Energy carry?
As of June 30, 2026, Constellation carried $24.70B in total debt and $1.08B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $23.62B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77.
When is Constellation Energy's next earnings report?
Constellation's next earnings report is scheduled for November 6, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $12.13 on revenue of $36.09B.