Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) AI Stock Analysis
AYA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) is a precious metals exploration and development company operating primarily in Morocco. Revenue increased from $39.1M in FY2024 to $202.1M in FY2025, while trailing twelve-month revenue reached $343.7M. The company holds $96.6M in net cash and trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 34.6x.
- Market cap
- $3.84B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $343.7M
- P/E
- 34.6x fwd 17.6x
- 1Y return
- 99.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- —
Bull case
- Revenue expanded 416.7% in FY2025 to $202.1M, followed by 150.7% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The balance sheet maintains positive liquidity with $96.6M in net cash and a current ratio of 2.02 as of June 30, 2026.
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin reached 54.9%, well above the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 18.5%.
Bear case
- The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 34.6x and a price-to-sales multiple of 11.2x, significantly above peer medians of 19.7x and 1.8x.
- Free cash flow has remained negative across all four reported fiscal years, including -$4.2M in FY2025 and -$101.6M in FY2024.
- A beta of 1.68 reflects substantial volatility relative to the broader market.
What Aya Gold & Silver Inc. does
Aya Gold & Silver Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metals projects in Morocco. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. Its flagship project holds 100% interests in the Zgounder property located east of Agadir in the Proterozoic Siroua Massif of the Anti-Atlas Range, Morocco, covering an area of approximately 378 square kilometers. In addition, the company has acquired a strategic exploration portfolio comprising three mining licenses and 18 exploration permits covering approximately 259 km² across three distinct exploration projects in Morocco. Incorporated in 2007, the company is based in Mount Royal, Canada.
Growth and profitability
Aya Gold & Silver generated $38.2M in revenue in FY2022, rising to $42.8M in FY2023 before contracting 8.7% to $39.1M in FY2024, when net income dropped to -$21.6M. In FY2025, revenue expanded 416.7% to $202.1M, lifting gross margin to 41.2%, operating margin to 28.1%, and net income to $45.6M with diluted EPS of $0.32. From FY2022 to FY2025, revenue delivered a 3-year compound annual growth rate of 74.2%. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $343.7M with an operating margin of 54.9% and net profit margin of 32.8%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 150.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 283.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Aya Gold & Silver held $182.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $86.2M, leaving net cash of $96.6M. Total assets stood at $701.5M against shareholders' equity of $489.2M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 and a current ratio of 2.02. In FY2025, operating cash flow turned positive at $71.9M compared to -$8.6M in FY2024. Capital expenditures in FY2025 were $76.2M, resulting in free cash flow of -$4.2M.
Valuation and performance
Aya Gold & Silver carries a market cap of $3.84B and an enterprise value of $3.97B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 34.6x and a forward P/E of 17.6x, compared to the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 19.7x trailing and 13.4x forward. Its price-to-sales ratio of 11.2x and EV-to-EBITDA of 17.5x also compare to peer medians of 1.8x and 10.5x, respectively. Over the trailing 1-year period, AYA returned 99.5%, outperforming the S&P 500's 16.8% return, and delivered a 5-year return of 244.1% versus 83.0% for the index.
What analysts expect
Analysts project full-year revenue of $428.9M for the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the next fiscal year, consensus revenue estimates reach $467.7M, representing projected growth of 9.0%. Trailing twelve-month EPS stands at $0.77. The company's next scheduled earnings date is November 12, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Capital expenditures of $76.2M in FY2025 continued to outpace operating cash flow of $71.9M.
- Earnings history shows past vulnerability, with net income falling to -$21.6M and operating margin to -28.4% in FY2024.
- A 31.0% premium over its 200-day moving average highlights heightened near-term price sensitivity.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AYA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AYA income statement, AYA balance sheet, AYA key metrics, AYA analyst forecast, AYA chart. See the AYA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AYA AI stock analysis FAQ
What projects does Aya Gold & Silver operate?
The company's flagship asset is a 100% interest in the Zgounder property covering approximately 378 square kilometers in Morocco. It also holds three mining licenses and 18 exploration permits covering approximately 259 km² across three other projects in the country.
Does AYA pay a dividend?
Aya Gold & Silver does not pay a dividend based on current company figures.
What is Aya Gold & Silver's debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $182.9M in cash and short-term investments and $86.2M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $96.6M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18.
When is Aya Gold & Silver's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 12, 2026.