Atara Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ATRA) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ATRAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ATRA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Atara Biotherapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing allogeneic T-cell and CAR T immunotherapies for cancers and autoimmune diseases. While the company achieved net income of $32.7M in FY2025, revenue over the trailing twelve months contracted to $6.2M with an operating margin of -627.5%. As of June 30, 2026, the company held $9.9M in cash and short-term investments against $9.9M in total debt, with negative shareholders' equity of -$37.0M.

Market cap
$92.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$6.2M
P/E
—
fwd 16.2x
1Y return
-39.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$13.67
48.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Atara achieved full-year net income of $32.7M and an operating margin of 29.7% in FY2025.
  • Analyst estimates project next fiscal year revenue to rebound by 1334.6% to $40.9M, alongside projected EPS of $1.54.
  • The mean analyst price target of $13.67 represents 48.9% potential upside compared to the last close of $9.18.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 96.4% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, dragging trailing twelve month revenue to $6.2M.
  • Operating cash flow remained negative at -$50.9M in FY2025, contributing to a 285.8% increase in share count over 5 years.
  • Shareholders' equity was negative at -$37.0M as of June 30, 2026, alongside $9.9M in total debt and $9.9M in cash.

What Atara Biotherapeutics does

Atara Biotherapeutics, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing therapies for patients with solid tumors, hematologic cancers, and autoimmune disorders. Its lead program, Tab-cel (tabelecleucel), is a Phase 3 T-cell immunotherapy targeting Epstein-Barr virus-driven post-transplant lymphoproliferative disease and nasopharyngeal carcinoma. The company is also developing CAR T programs, including ATA2271 and ATA3271 targeting mesothelin, and ATA3219 for B-cell malignancies. Additionally, Atara is evaluating ATA188 in Phase 2 clinical trials for multiple sclerosis. It collaborates with Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, and H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue rose from $20.3M in FY2021 to $128.9M in FY2024 before decreasing 6.3% to $120.8M in FY2025. In FY2025, gross margin was 82.4%, operating margin reached 29.7%, and net income was $32.7M, or $3.02 per share. However, for the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $6.2M, with an operating margin of -627.5% and diluted earnings per share of -$1.30. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue declined 96.4% year-over-year. For the full year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.8M and an EPS of -$0.95.

ATRA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Atara Biotherapeutics held $9.9M in cash and short-term investments and $9.9M in total debt, leaving net debt at $6,000. Total assets stood at $21.0M, and the current ratio was 1.98. Shareholders' equity was negative at -$37.0M. The company has not generated positive annual cash flow from operations, recording operating cash flow of -$50.9M and free cash flow of -$50.9M in FY2025. Over the five-year period through FY2025, its share count expanded by 285.8%.

ATRA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Atara Biotherapeutics has a market capitalization of $92.1M and an enterprise value of $85.9M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 16.2x, compared to 17.3x for the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 14.9x versus the peer median of 4.1x, and its EV/EBITDA is 2.2x compared to the peer median of 12.0x. Over the past year, ATRA shares returned -39.8%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned -97.6% compared to an 83.0% gain for the index.

ATRA key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $13.67 represents a 48.9% premium to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $9.18. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, the consensus EPS estimate is -$0.95 on $2.8M in revenue. For FY2027, 2 analysts project revenue of $40.9M and EPS of $1.54. Atara has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 11, 2026.

ATRA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Liquidity is constrained with cash and short-term investments of $9.9M matching total debt of $9.9M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Operating margins dropped to -627.5% over the trailing twelve months following positive operating margins of 29.7% in FY2025.
  • Dilution risk remains elevated given a five-year share count increase of 285.8% and persistent annual free cash flow deficits, such as -$50.9M in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ATRA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Atara Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ATRA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ATRA income statement, ATRA balance sheet, ATRA key metrics, ATRA analyst forecast, ATRA chart. See the ATRA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ATRA AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Atara Biotherapeutics' lead drug candidate?

The company's lead asset is Tab-cel (tabelecleucel), an allogeneic T-cell immunotherapy currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for Epstein-Barr virus-driven post-transplant lymphoproliferative disease and nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Does Atara Biotherapeutics pay a dividend?

No, Atara Biotherapeutics does not pay a dividend. The company generated negative free cash flow of -$50.9M in FY2025 and uses capital to fund operations.

What are analysts forecasting for Atara's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$0.95 on $2.8M in revenue. For the following fiscal year, analysts project an EPS of $1.54 on $40.9M in revenue.

How much debt does Atara Biotherapeutics have?

As of June 30, 2026, Atara Biotherapeutics had $9.9M in total debt and $9.9M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $6,000.

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