Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT) AI Stock Analysis
ARQT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchArcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing dermatology therapies. Annual revenue grew from $3.7M in FY2022 to $376.1M in FY2025, while trailing twelve months revenue reached $464.0M with a positive EPS of $0.22. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 59.3% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $3.62B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $464.0M
- P/E
- 131.0x fwd 26.4x
- 1Y return
- 37.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $38.38 33.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue grew at a 3-year CAGR of 367.3% between FY2022 and FY2025 as commercial products scaled.
- The balance sheet retains net cash of $124.4M with $238.6M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Analysts forecast FY2026 EPS to increase 432.1% to $0.43, with a mean price target of $38.38.
Bear case
- Valuation multiples remain elevated, including a trailing P/E of 131.0x compared to the peer median of 24.6x.
- Shareholders experienced significant dilution reflected in a 170.7% increase in share count over 5 years.
- Short interest represents 18.4% of the float, pointing to meaningful negative sentiment.
What Arcutis Biotherapeutics does
Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical firm that develops and commercializes treatments for dermatological diseases. Founded in 2016 and based in Westlake Village, California, the company addresses unmet needs in dermatology. Its lead product candidate is ARQ-151, a topical cream formulation of roflumilast that completed Phase III trials for plaque psoriasis and atopic dermatitis. Its development pipeline also features ARQ-154 topical foam for seborrheic dermatitis and scalp psoriasis, ARQ-252 for hand eczema and vitiligo, ARQ-255 for alopecia areata, and ARQ-234 for moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis.
Growth and profitability
Arcutis demonstrated rapid top-line expansion as revenue grew from $3.7M in FY2022 to $59.6M in FY2023, $196.5M in FY2024, and $376.1M in FY2025, producing a 3-year revenue CAGR of 367.3%. Annual net losses decreased from -$311.5M in FY2022 and -$262.1M in FY2023 to -$140.0M in FY2024 and -$16.1M in FY2025. Gross margin stood at 90.2% in FY2025, while operating margin improved to -3.3% from -8183.0% in FY2022. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $464.0M with an operating margin of 12.7% and a profit margin of 6.2%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 59.3% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Arcutis reported $238.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $114.1M, resulting in net cash of $124.4M. Total assets stood at $488.5M and shareholders' equity was $220.6M, supporting a current ratio of 2.92 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52. Operating cash flow improved from -$257.7M in FY2022 to -$5.6M in FY2025, alongside free cash flow of -$6.3M. Capital expenditures were $686,000 in FY2025, while the 5-year share count change was 170.7%.
Valuation and performance
Arcutis has a market cap of $3.62B and an enterprise value of $3.19B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 131.0x and a forward P/E of 26.4x, above the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 24.6x and 17.3x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 7.8x versus the peer median of 4.1x, and its EV-to-EBITDA is 70.2x against the peer median of 12.0x. Over the past year, the stock returned 37.8%, beating the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 29.4% trails the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Analyst coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $38.38, indicating 33.2% upside from the last close of $28.82. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $537.8M and EPS of $0.43, representing 432.1% EPS growth. Arcutis beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The stock displays elevated market sensitivity with a beta of 1.58.
- Free cash flow was negative at -$6.3M in FY2025, requiring sustained operating discipline.
- The enterprise value of $3.19B relies on fulfilling aggressive expectations, including FY2027 revenue estimates of $686.8M.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ARQT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. (ARQT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ARQT income statement, ARQT balance sheet, ARQT key metrics, ARQT analyst forecast, ARQT chart. See the ARQT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ARQT AI stock analysis FAQ
What are Arcutis Biotherapeutics' primary drug candidates?
The company's lead candidate is ARQ-151, a topical roflumilast cream for plaque psoriasis and atopic dermatitis. It also develops ARQ-154 foam, ARQ-252, ARQ-255, and ARQ-234 across various dermatological indications.
Is Arcutis Biotherapeutics profitable?
For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company posted a profit margin of 6.2% and EPS of $0.22, following an annual net loss of -$16.1M in FY2025.
When is the next earnings release for ARQT?
The company is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on October 27, 2026.
What does the balance sheet position look like for ARQT?
As of June 30, 2026, Arcutis held $238.6M in cash and short-term investments and $114.1M in debt, providing net cash of $124.4M and a current ratio of 2.92.