Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ARCTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ARCT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on mRNA medicines and vaccines. In FY2025, revenue fell 51.4% to $67.2M, with a net loss of -$65.8M and negative free cash flow of -$74.3M. As of June 30, 2026, the company held $191.5M in cash and short-term investments against $22.9M in total debt.

Market cap
$293.9M
Revenue (TTM)
$29.4M
P/E
—
fwd 2.5x
1Y return
-52.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$23.80
130.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • The consensus mean price target of $23.80 represents an upside of 130.2% relative to the last close of $10.34.
  • Arcturus maintains a strong liquidity cushion with $191.5M in cash and short-term investments and net cash of $168.6M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst estimates project revenue to rebound 54.5% to $28.8M in the next fiscal year.

Bear case

  • Trailing twelve-month revenue fell to $29.4M, with quarterly revenue dropping 89.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company generated negative free cash flow of -$74.3M in FY2025 alongside an operating margin of -111.5%.
  • Arcturus exhibits elevated volatility with a beta of 2.48 and short interest representing 23.5% of the float.

What Arcturus Therapeutics does

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. operates as an advanced-stage clinical biotechnology company specializing in mRNA medicines and vaccines. Founded in 2013 and headquartered in San Diego, California, the company utilizes proprietary technologies including LUNAR lipid-mediated delivery, STARR mRNA Technology (samRNA), and mRNA drug substance manufacturing. Its clinical pipeline includes vaccine and therapeutic programs for SARS-CoV-2 and Influenza. Through strategic partnerships, Arcturus is also advancing investigational therapies for ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency, cystic fibrosis, glycogen storage disease type III, and hepatitis B virus across platforms including messenger RNA, small interfering RNA, circular RNA, antisense RNA, self-amplifying RNA, DNA, and gene editing therapeutics.

Growth and profitability

Arcturus reported annual revenue of $67.2M in FY2025, representing a revenue decline of 51.4% following $138.4M in FY2024 and $157.7M in FY2023. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at a CAGR of 47.8%. In FY2025, operating margin was -111.5% and net income was -$65.8M, with diluted EPS of -$2.38 and R&D expense of $112.2M. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 89.5% year-over-year, while trailing twelve-month revenue totaled $29.4M with an operating margin of -863.3% and EPS of -$3.33.

ARCT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Arcturus held $191.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $22.9M, leaving net cash of $168.6M. The company reported a current ratio of 5.88 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, supported by shareholders' equity of $171.8M and total assets of $224.3M. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$74.3M and free cash flow was -$74.3M. Capital expenditures totaled $230,000 for FY2025, while total shares outstanding grew 7.8% over the past 5 years.

ARCT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Arcturus trades at an enterprise value of $209.8M and a market capitalization of $293.9M. Its forward P/E is 2.5x, compared to a median of 17.3x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. The company has a price-to-sales multiple of 10.0x and an EV-to-revenue ratio of 11.2x, relative to the peer median price-to-sales ratio of 4.1x. Over the past 12 months, the stock fell 52.4%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. However, ARCT is up 68.7% year-to-date and trades 17.5% above its 200-day average.

ARCT key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 10 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $23.80, which is 130.2% above the last close of $10.34. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $18.6M and EPS of -$3.45. For the next fiscal year, 10 analysts estimate revenue will grow 54.5% to $28.8M with an EPS of -$3.70. Arcturus beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 9, 2026.

ARCT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin stood at -863.3% over the trailing twelve months, reflecting heavy operational spending against lower revenue.
  • The stock has dropped 52.4% over the trailing 1-year period and 77.3% over the past 5 years.
  • Consensus EPS for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, is projected at -$3.45, reflecting a 43.9% decline.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ARCT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ARCT income statement, ARCT balance sheet, ARCT key metrics, ARCT analyst forecast, ARCT chart. See the ARCT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ARCT AI stock analysis FAQ

When is Arcturus Therapeutics reporting its next earnings?

Arcturus Therapeutics is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 9, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst price target for ARCT?

The mean analyst price target is $23.80, which sits 130.2% above the stock's last close of $10.34.

How much cash does Arcturus Therapeutics have?

As of June 30, 2026, Arcturus held $191.5M in cash and short-term investments, with total debt of $22.9M resulting in net cash of $168.6M.

Does Arcturus Therapeutics pay a dividend?

Arcturus Therapeutics does not pay a dividend.

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