Alector, Inc. (ALEC) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ALECAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ALEC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Alector, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALEC) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing therapies for neurodegenerative diseases. Revenue has declined from $207.1M in FY2021 to $21.0M in FY2025, with trailing twelve months revenue at $13.9M. While the company maintains a net cash position of $140.0M, it reported negative shareholders' equity of -$10.0M as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$205.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$13.9M
P/E
—
fwd 8.5x
1Y return
-42.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$3.90
112.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Alector holds $172.8M in cash and short-term investments, yielding a net cash balance of $140.0M as of June 30, 2026.
  • The mean analyst price target of $3.90 indicates a potential upside of 112.0% from the recent share price of $1.84.
  • Analysts forecast current fiscal year revenue to rebound to $66.2M with an estimated 63.7% improvement in EPS.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue dropped 79.1% to $21.0M in FY2025, alongside a net loss of -$142.9M.
  • Free cash flow burn remained elevated at -$184.1M in FY2025, contributing to negative shareholders' equity of -$10.0M.
  • Analyst estimates project next fiscal year revenue to fall 82.8% to $11.4M.

What Alector does

Alector, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies to combat neurodegenerative diseases. Its lead candidate, AL001, is in Phase III clinical trials targeting immune activity in the brain for disorders such as frontotemporal dementia, Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. The pipeline also includes AL101 in Phase I trials, AL002 in Phase II trials for Alzheimer's disease, AL003 in Phase I trials, and AL044 targeting MS4A4A. The company collaborates with Adimab, LLC for antibody development and has a partnership with GlaxoSmithKline plc for the joint development and commercialization of AL001, AL002, and AL101.

Growth and profitability

Alector's financial performance reflects large fluctuations typical of clinical-stage biotechnology firms. Revenue reached $207.1M in FY2021 before dropping to $133.6M in FY2022, $97.1M in FY2023, and $100.6M in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue fell 79.1% to $21.0M, generating an operating margin of -692.8% and a net income of -$142.9M. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue posted a CAGR of -0.1%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue dropped 57.8% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings decreased 86.3%. On a trailing twelve months basis, revenue sits at $13.9M with an operating margin of -734.7% and an EPS of -$1.09.

ALEC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Alector held $172.8M in cash and short-term investments against $32.8M in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $140.0M. The company's total assets stood at $202.9M, supported by a current ratio of 5.26. However, cumulative losses have resulted in negative shareholders' equity of -$10.0M. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$184.0M and free cash flow was -$184.1M, with capital expenditures totaling $41,000. Additionally, the company's share count increased 36.5% over 5 years.

ALEC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Alector trades at a market capitalization of $205.4M and an enterprise value of $84.4M. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio is 8.5x, compared to 17.3x for the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 14.8x, above the peer median of 4.1x, while its enterprise value-to-revenue stands at 6.0x. Over the past year, the stock fell 42.9%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, the shares dropped 92.1% against an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

ALEC key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 2 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $3.90, which represents a 112.0% upside compared to the last close of $1.84. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $66.2M and EPS of -$0.50. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts expect revenue to decrease to $11.4M with EPS of -$0.73. Alector beat EPS expectations in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

ALEC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company has negative shareholders' equity of -$10.0M as of June 30, 2026, driven by persistent operating losses.
  • Free cash flow in FY2025 was -$184.1M, creating ongoing demands on the cash and short-term investments balance of $172.8M.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred, with the share count increasing by 36.5% over a 5-year period.
  • Revenue fell 57.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, highlighting top-line volatility.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ALEC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Alector, Inc. (ALEC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ALEC income statement, ALEC balance sheet, ALEC key metrics, ALEC analyst forecast, ALEC chart. See the ALEC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ALEC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Alector's primary clinical focus?

Alector focuses on neurodegenerative diseases. Its lead candidate AL001 is in Phase III trials, while AL101, AL002, AL003, and AL044 target diseases such as Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, and frontotemporal dementia.

How much cash does Alector have?

As of June 30, 2026, Alector had $172.8M in cash and short-term investments. With total debt of $32.8M, its net cash position was $140.0M.

Does Alector pay a dividend?

No, Alector does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward research and clinical development, posting an R&D expense of $123.1M in FY2025.

When is Alector's next earnings report?

Alector is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 5, 2026.

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