Kingsbarn Tactical Bond ETF (KDRN) Performance
KDRN total return
Distributions reinvested · as of Oct 23, 2026- YTD
- −0.5% since Dec 31, 2025
- 1 year
- −1.3% total return
- 3 years
- +4.0% a year
- Since first price
- +0.5% a year since 2021
KDRN trailing returns vs AGG, TLT, SPY
| Period | KDRN total return | Price only | U.S. bonds (AGG) | 20+ yr Treasuries (TLT) | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.9% | +1.5% | −1.0% |
| 3 months | −1.2% | −2.2% | −0.4% | −1.0% | +3.2% |
| 6 months | −1.5% | −3.5% | −1.5% | −3.8% | +7.8% |
| YTD | −0.5% | −3.1% | −1.0% | −3.4% | +12.3% |
| 1 year | −1.3% | −4.9% | −1.1% | −6.9% | +14.4% |
| 3 years | +12.4%+4.0%/yr | +2.7% | +16.6%+5.2%/yr | +9.7%+3.1%/yr | +87.4%+23.3%/yr |
| Since inceptionDec 21, 2021 | +2.2%+0.5%/yr | −10.2% | — | — | — |
Total return from adjusted closes (distributions reinvested, before tax). Periods of 3 years or more are also shown annualized. Price only excludes distributions.
Growth of $10,000: KDRN vs AGG
From Dec 21, 2021: KDRN grew to $10,220, AGG to $9,870.
Year-end values with distributions reinvested, no taxes or trading costs. Start: first common trading day of both funds.
KDRN returns by calendar year
3 of 4 full years positive. Best 2023 (+10.1%), worst 2022 (−12.1%). 2026 is year to date.
KDRN annual returns table
| Year | KDRN | Largest drop | AGG | TLT | SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026YTD | −0.5% | −3.1% | −1.0% | −3.4% | +12.3% |
| 2025 | +4.7% | −3.3% | +7.2% | +4.3% | +17.7% |
| 2024 | +1.3% | −4.0% | +1.3% | −8.1% | +24.9% |
| 2023 | +10.1% | −4.9% | +5.7% | +2.8% | +26.2% |
| 2022 | −12.1% | −14.8% | −13.0% | −31.2% | −18.2% |
Largest drop = deepest fall from a high within that calendar year.
Calendar-year return vs largest drop within the year
Most years include a sizable fall at some point even when the year ends higher.
KDRN largest drawdowns
Now 2.5% below the high| Peak | Decline | Bottom | Recovered | Fall | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2021 | −15.3% | Oct 24, 2022 | Aug 21, 2024 | 10 months | 2.6 years |
Declines from a closing high (distributions reinvested) of 5% or more. Underwater = time from the peak until the old high was regained.
KDRN risk statistics
| Statistic | 3 years | Since 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized return | +3.4% | +0.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 4.6% | 7.0% |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.20 | -0.47 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.28 | -0.60 |
| Best month | +3.4% | +5.2% |
| Worst month | −2.9% | −6.0% |
| Best 12 months | +10.3% | +10.3% |
| Worst 12 months | −0.6% | −12.1% |
| Positive months | 69% | 60% |
| Beta vs S&P 500 | 0.14 | — |
| Correlation with S&P 500 | 0.38 | — |
From monthly total returns. Sharpe and Sortino use 1–3 month T-bills (BIL) as the risk-free rate, so they need history from 2007 on.
KDRN rolling returns
| Holding period | Periods | Worst | Median | Best | Positive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year | 47 | −12.1% | +3.1% | +10.3% | 87% |
| 3-year (a year) | 23 | −0.7% | +3.5% | +6.3% | 96% |
Every holding period starting at a month-end since 2021. Returns for 3 years and longer are annualized.
KDRN performance overview
Kingsbarn Tactical Bond ETF (KDRN) returned −1.3% over the past year, with distributions reinvested. Since its first recorded price in 2021 it has returned +0.5% a year, turning $10,000 into about $10,220. Over the same year U.S. bonds (AGG) returned −1.1%.
The deepest decline was −15.3%, from Dec 28, 2021 to Oct 24, 2022, and it took 1.8 years to get back to the old high. KDRN finished 3 of its 4 full calendar years with a gain; the best year was 2023 (+10.1%) and the worst 2022 (−12.1%). Volatility has been 7.0% a year.
Related: KDRN chart, KDRN dividends, KDRN bond profile. See the KDRN overview for the latest quote and fund facts.
KDRN performance FAQ
What is the KDRN return over the past year?
KDRN returned −1.3% over the 12 months to October 23, 2026, including reinvested distributions. On price alone it fell 4.9%.
How much would $10,000 invested in KDRN be worth?
$10,000 invested in KDRN at its first recorded close on December 21, 2021 would be worth about $10,220 on October 23, 2026 with distributions reinvested.
What was the worst year for KDRN?
The worst calendar year was 2022, with a total return of −12.1%. The best was 2023 at +10.1%.
What is the biggest drawdown of KDRN?
The largest peak-to-trough decline was −15.3% between December 28, 2021 and October 24, 2022. It recovered to the old high on August 21, 2024, 1.8 years after the bottom.
How volatile is KDRN?
Over the past 3 years KDRN had an annualized volatility of 4.6% and a Sharpe ratio of -0.20 (excess return over 1–3 month T-bills per unit of risk).